Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
South Africa: forward projections across 12 macro indicators, horizons 2025, 2027, 2029, 2031, 2034, 2036. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | -1.07 | 3.65 | -5.8 | -2.05 – -0.09 |
| 2029 | -1.42 | 6.76 | -9.6 | -3.16 – 0.32 |
| 2031 | -1.77 | 8.79 | -12.33 | -4.07 – 0.53 |
| 2036 | -2.64 | 12.3 | -17.57 | -6.11 – 0.83 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed31.79(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32.77 | 36.16 | 29.84 | 31.76 – 33.79 |
| 2027 | 34.74 | 40.61 | 29.65 | 32.17 – 37.31 |
| 2029 | 36.71 | 44.28 | 30.14 | 32.54 – 40.87 |
| 2034 | 41.62 | 52.34 | 32.34 | 32.99 – 50.26 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed401.1bn(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 499.5bn | 589.6bn | 421.5bn | 480.8bn – 518.3bn |
| 2029 | 547.6bn | 703.7bn | 412.4bn | 502.8bn – 592.5bn |
| 2031 | 595.7bn | 797.2bn | 421.1bn | 524.1bn – 667.4bn |
| 2036 | 715.9bn | 1T | 469.1bn | 567.4bn – 864.5bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed0.53(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0.94 | 3.4 | -1.19 | 0.52 – 1.37 |
| 2029 | 0.74 | 5 | -2.94 | -0.01 – 1.5 |
| 2031 | 0.54 | 6.03 | -4.21 | -0.45 – 1.54 |
| 2036 | 0.05 | 7.81 | -6.68 | -1.41 – 1.5 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.3k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 7.8k | 9.3k | 6.5k | 7.5k – 8.1k |
| 2029 | 8.5k | 11k | 6.2k | 7.7k – 9.2k |
| 2031 | 9.1k | 12.5k | 6.2k | 8k – 10.3k |
| 2036 | 10.8k | 15.5k | 6.7k | 8.5k – 13.1k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed78.9(2026)· IMF DataMapper API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 82.4 | 88.93 | 74.86 | 79.84 – 84.95 |
| 2029 | 89.39 | 100.7 | 76.33 | 82.77 – 96 |
| 2031 | 96.38 | 110.98 | 79.52 | 85.43 – 107.32 |
| 2036 | 113.85 | 134.51 | 90.01 | 90.23 – 137.47 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed29.85(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30.67 | 36.57 | 24.77 | 29.28 – 32.07 |
| 2027 | 32.31 | 42.53 | 22.09 | 29.19 – 35.42 |
| 2029 | 33.95 | 47.13 | 20.76 | 29.21 – 38.68 |
| 2034 | 38.04 | 56.69 | 19.38 | 29.1 – 46.98 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed4.36(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.33 | 7.41 | 1.04 | 3.58 – 5.08 |
| 2029 | 5.31 | 10.64 | -0.39 | 3.88 – 6.75 |
| 2031 | 6.29 | 13.17 | -1.07 | 4.27 – 8.32 |
| 2036 | 8.74 | 18.46 | -1.67 | 5.19 – 12.3 |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed14.52(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14.69 | 16.48 | 13.14 | 14.2 – 15.18 |
| 2027 | 15 | 18.1 | 12.31 | 13.84 – 16.16 |
| 2029 | 15.31 | 19.31 | 11.84 | 13.51 – 17.1 |
| 2034 | 16.07 | 21.73 | 11.17 | 12.69 – 19.45 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed64m(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 64.1m | 67.1m | 61.3m | 62.1m – 66.1m |
| 2029 | 65.1m | 68.1m | 62.2m | 60.2m – 69.9m |
| 2031 | 66m | 69.1m | 63.1m | 58.5m – 73.5m |
| 2036 | 68.4m | 71.8m | 65.2m | 54.2m – 82.6m |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed-1.7(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -3.45 | 8.21 | -10 | -4.96 – -1.94 |
| 2027 | -7.13 | 13.07 | -10 | -9.99 – -4.26 |
| 2029 | -10 | 15 | -10 | -10 – -5.94 |
| 2034 | -10 | 15 | -10 | -10 – -3.79 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 7y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed32.39(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 32.21 | 33.79 | 30.64 | 31.22 – 33.21 |
| 2029 | 31.64 | 33.51 | 29.77 | 29.3 – 33.99 |
| 2031 | 31.07 | 33.49 | 28.66 | 27.55 – 34.6 |
| 2036 | 29.65 | 33.06 | 26.23 | 23.5 – 35.8 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/ZAF · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
