inflation · indicator
Consumer price inflation, all items, year-on-year rate for the latest month (HICP for European countries, CPI-U for the United States).
How it’s forecast
CPI monthly uses a mean reversion model with a 10-year lookback, 60% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
Why it matters
Lower readings are generally healthier for this metric.
Trajectory
No global history or forecast exists for this indicator yet.
Before consensus
Countries whose latest reading deviates most from their own recent trend.
Rankings
By country
Observed history with a baseline / optimistic / pessimistic forecast for the largest current readings.
Forecast
Per-country latest reading and baseline forecast across horizons.
| Country | Latest | Year | 1y | 3y | 5y | 10y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | 2.9% | 2026 | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% |
| Belgium | 4.2% | 2026 | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| Bulgaria | 5.1% | 2026 | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| Croatia | 3.7% | 2026 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| Cyprus | 5.2% | 2026 | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Czechia | 1.3% | 2026 | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% |
| Denmark | 1.6% | 2026 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| Estonia | 1.3% | 2026 | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% |
| Finland | 2.4% | 2026 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| France | 2.7% | 2026 | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Germany | 2.9% | 2026 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| Greece | 3.7% | 2026 | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Hungary | 1.6% | 2026 | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% |
| Ireland | 3.4% | 2026 | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Italy | 3.2% | 2026 | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| Latvia | 2.9% | 2026 | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% |
| Lithuania | 5.8% | 2026 | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% |
| Luxembourg | 4.0% | 2026 | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% |
| Malta | 1.9% | 2026 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% |
| Netherlands | 2.8% | 2026 | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| Poland | 3.1% | 2026 | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% |
| Portugal | 3.6% | 2026 | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Romania | 8.2% | 2026 | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% |
| Slovakia | 3.1% | 2026 | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% |
| Slovenia | 3.4% | 2026 | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| Spain | 4.5% | 2026 | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
| Sweden | 0.3% | 2026 | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% |
| United States | 4.2% | 2026 | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
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Sources
CPI monthly uses a mean reversion model with a 10-year lookback, 60% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
