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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Sentiment/Brazil

Sentiment

Brazil — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
−0.10balancedWatch

Macro stress 55/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — Brazil’s macro dimensions
GrowthWatch
+0.18balanced

Stress 41/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1980–2025
−0.01Stable

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Span change

−0.01

Latest step

−0.10

Years

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
+0.02balancedWatch

Projected macro stress 49/100

Change vs now

+0.12 sentiment

-6 stress

GrowthNormal

Projected 2.25 · stress 33/100

InflationElevated

Projected 5.4 · stress 66/100

LabourWatch

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger 51018ed

Brazil: consumer confidence is 100.3084 (at-trend); soft vs hard sentiment is mixed.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
100.31

Alerts

Get notified

We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

Sentiment alertsSign in to set sentiment alerts.

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Inflation
Elevated
−0.38cautious

Stress 69/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourWatch
+0.14balanced

Stress 43/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalElevated
−0.32cautious

Stress 66/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalElevated
−0.36cautious

Stress 68/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

46

Confidence

High

AI read

Projected 4.28 · stress 37/100

Debt / fiscalElevated

Projected 94.22 · stress 59/100

ExternalElevated

Projected -2.97 · stress 68/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read

OECD SDMX API

At-trendvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▲+0.023m ▲+0.17YoY ▲+0.41

Consumer confidence in Brazil is 100.31 — around the 100 long-run trend (at-trend) and broadly flat.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
Mixedconf high
Soft (survey)
+0.06

CCI 100.31 · neutral

Hard (macro)
-0.10

balanced · pressure 55

Gap (soft − hard)
+0.16

>0 = confidence ahead

Soft and hard sentiment for Brazil are MIXED — one side is around its neutral reference, so there is no clear divergence.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/BRA/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs