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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Sentiment/Debt / fiscal aspect

Sentiment · by aspect

Debt / fiscal sentiment — by economy

Every covered economy ranked by its derived debt / fiscal sentiment — a single macro-pressure driver (a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model). Derived from live macro series; higher sentiment = more supportive. Backward-looking, not a forecast.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

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Pick a macro dimension

GrowthInflationLabour MarketFiscalTrade

Ranking

Debt / fiscal — 192 covered economies

Each reading is the single-driver sentiment proxy for that economy. Uncovered economies never appear.

Most supportiveMost stressed
#EconomyMacro stressSentimentRead
1Bahrain · BHR95Stressed−0.90stressed
2
Italy · ITA
95Stressed
−0.90
stressed
3Singapore · SGP95Stressed−0.90stressed
4Venezuela · VEN95Stressed−0.90stressed
5Senegal · SEN94Stressed−0.88stressed
6Maldives · MDV92Stressed−0.84stressed
7United States · USA89Stressed−0.78stressed
8Eritrea · ERI87Stressed−0.74stressed
9Japan · JPN87Stressed−0.74stressed
10Sudan · SDN87Stressed−0.74stressed
11Ukraine · UKR87Stressed−0.74stressed
12Bhutan · BTN85Stressed−0.70stressed
13St. Vincent and the Grenadines · VCT85Stressed−0.70stressed
14France · FRA84Stressed−0.68stressed
15Lebanon · LBN83Stressed−0.66stressed
16Greece · GRC81Stressed−0.62stressed
17Belgium · BEL77Stressed−0.54stressed
18China · CHN76Stressed−0.52stressed
19Mozambique · MOZ75Stressed−0.50stressed
20United Kingdom · GBR74Elevated−0.48cautious
21Bolivia · BOL73Elevated−0.46cautious
22Brazil · BRA69Elevated−0.38cautious
23Finland · FIN66Elevated−0.32cautious
24Canada · CAN62Elevated−0.24cautious
25Egypt · EGY62Elevated−0.24cautious
26Gabon · GAB61Elevated−0.22cautious
27Tunisia · TUN60Elevated−0.20cautious
28Fiji · FJI59Elevated−0.18cautious
29Austria · AUT58Elevated−0.16cautious
30Hungary · HUN56Elevated−0.12cautious
31South Africa · ZAF56Elevated−0.12cautious
32Sri Lanka · LKA56Elevated−0.12cautious
33San Marino · SMR55Elevated−0.10cautious
34St. Lucia · LCA55Elevated−0.10cautious
35Dominica · DMA54Watch−0.08balanced
36Mauritius · MUS54Watch−0.08balanced
37Spain · ESP54Watch−0.08balanced
38Cabo Verde · CPV52Watch−0.04balanced
39Kenya · KEN51Watch−0.02balanced
40Israel · ISR50Watch0.00balanced
41Namibia · NAM50Watch0.00balanced
42Congo · COG49Watch+0.02balanced
43Barbados · BRB48Watch+0.04balanced
44Rwanda · RWA48Watch+0.04balanced
45Thailand · THA48Watch+0.04balanced
46Uruguay · URY48Watch+0.04balanced
47Poland · POL47Watch+0.06balanced
48Central African Republic · CAF46Watch+0.08balanced
49Germany · DEU46Watch+0.08balanced
50St. Kitts and Nevis · KNA46Watch+0.08balanced
51Suriname · SUR46Watch+0.08balanced
52Togo · TGO46Watch+0.08balanced
53Mexico · MEX45Watch+0.10balanced
54Portugal · PRT45Watch+0.10balanced
55Slovakia · SVK45Watch+0.10balanced
56Zambia · ZMB45Watch+0.10balanced
57Colombia · COL44Watch+0.12balanced
58Costa Rica · CRI44Watch+0.12balanced
59El Salvador · SLV44Watch+0.12balanced
60Iraq · IRQ44Watch+0.12balanced
61Romania · ROU44Watch+0.12balanced
62Trinidad and Tobago · TTO44Watch+0.12balanced
63India · IND43Watch+0.14balanced
64Philippines · PHL43Watch+0.14balanced
65Algeria · DZA42Watch+0.16balanced
66Jordan · JOR42Watch+0.16balanced
67Croatia · HRV41Watch+0.18balanced
68New Zealand · NZL41Watch+0.18balanced
69Panama · PAN41Watch+0.18balanced
70Seychelles · SYC40Watch+0.20balanced
71Uganda · UGA40Watch+0.20balanced
72Ecuador · ECU39Watch+0.22balanced
73South Korea · KOR39Watch+0.22balanced
74Ghana · GHA38Watch+0.24balanced
75North Macedonia · MKD38Watch+0.24balanced
76Angola · AGO37Watch+0.26balanced
77Guinea-Bissau · GNB37Watch+0.26balanced
78Laos · LAO37Watch+0.26balanced
79Malawi · MWI37Watch+0.26balanced
80Armenia · ARM36Watch+0.28balanced
81Eswatini · SWZ36Watch+0.28balanced
82Madagascar · MDG36Watch+0.28balanced
83Nepal · NPL36Watch+0.28balanced
84Bahamas, The · BHS35Watch+0.30balanced
85Argentina · ARG34Normal+0.32supportive
86Botswana · BWA34Normal+0.32supportive
87Latvia · LVA34Normal+0.32supportive
88Malaysia · MYS34Normal+0.32supportive
89Malta · MLT34Normal+0.32supportive
90Pakistan · PAK34Normal+0.32supportive
91Czechia · CZE33Normal+0.34supportive
92Gambia, The · GMB33Normal+0.34supportive
93Grenada · GRD33Normal+0.34supportive
94Lithuania · LTU33Normal+0.34supportive
95Niger · NER33Normal+0.34supportive
96Antigua and Barbuda · ATG32Normal+0.36supportive
97Honduras · HND32Normal+0.36supportive
98Netherlands · NLD32Normal+0.36supportive
99Chile · CHL31Normal+0.38supportive
100Jamaica · JAM31Normal+0.38supportive
101Morocco · MAR31Normal+0.38supportive
102Qatar · QAT31Normal+0.38supportive
103Serbia · SRB31Normal+0.38supportive
104Slovenia · SVN31Normal+0.38supportive
105Vanuatu · VUT31Normal+0.38supportive
106Indonesia · IDN30Normal+0.40supportive
107Belize · BLZ29Normal+0.42supportive
108Moldova · MDA29Normal+0.42supportive
109Montenegro · MNE29Normal+0.42supportive
110Myanmar · MMR29Normal+0.42supportive
111Aruba · ABW27Normal+0.46supportive
112Kyrgyz Republic · KGZ27Normal+0.46supportive
113Sweden · SWE27Normal+0.46supportive
114Dominican Republic · DOM26Normal+0.48supportive
115Georgia · GEO26Normal+0.48supportive
116Benin · BEN25Normal+0.50supportive
117Palau · PLW25Normal+0.50supportive
118South Sudan · SSD25Normal+0.50supportive
119Tonga · TON25Normal+0.50supportive
120Comoros · COM24Normal+0.52supportive
121Côte d'Ivoire · CIV24Normal+0.52supportive
122Bosnia and Herzegovina · BIH23Normal+0.54supportive
123Iceland · ISL23Normal+0.54supportive
124Liberia · LBR23Normal+0.54supportive
125Saudi Arabia · SAU23Normal+0.54supportive
126Solomon Islands · SLB22Normal+0.56supportive
127Albania · ALB21Normal+0.58supportive
128Bulgaria · BGR21Normal+0.58supportive
129Cyprus · CYP21Normal+0.58supportive
130Guyana · GUY21Normal+0.58supportive
131Luxembourg · LUX21Normal+0.58supportive
132Australia · AUS20Normal+0.60supportive
133Cambodia · KHM20Normal+0.60supportive
134Estonia · EST20Normal+0.60supportive
135Guatemala · GTM20Normal+0.60supportive
136Sao Tome and Principe · STP20Normal+0.60supportive
137Taiwan · TWN20Normal+0.60supportive
138Burkina Faso · BFA19Normal+0.62supportive
139Iran · IRN19Normal+0.62supportive
140Lesotho · LSO19Normal+0.62supportive
141Papua New Guinea · PNG19Normal+0.62supportive
142Tanzania · TZA19Normal+0.62supportive
143Türkiye · TUR19Normal+0.62supportive
144DR Congo · COD18Normal+0.64supportive
145Kazakhstan · KAZ18Normal+0.64supportive
146Kuwait · KWT17Normal+0.66supportive
147Belarus · BLR16Normal+0.68supportive
148Guinea · GIN16Normal+0.68supportive
149Mongolia · MNG16Normal+0.68supportive
150Sierra Leone · SLE16Normal+0.68supportive
151Tajikistan · TJK16Normal+0.68supportive
152Norway · NOR15Normal+0.70supportive
153Zimbabwe · ZWE15Normal+0.70supportive
154Bangladesh · BGD14Normal+0.72supportive
155Mali · MLI14Normal+0.72supportive
156Puerto Rico (US) · PRI14Normal+0.72supportive
157Russia · RUS14Normal+0.72supportive
158Cameroon · CMR13Normal+0.74supportive
159Ethiopia · ETH13Normal+0.74supportive
160Hong Kong · HKG13Normal+0.74supportive
161Marshall Islands · MHL13Normal+0.74supportive
162Timor-Leste · TLS13Normal+0.74supportive
163Equatorial Guinea · GNQ12Normal+0.76supportive
164Switzerland · CHE12Normal+0.76supportive
165Burundi · BDI11Normal+0.78supportive
166Mauritania · MRT11Normal+0.78supportive
167Paraguay · PRY11Normal+0.78supportive
168Nicaragua · NIC8Normal+0.84supportive
169Nigeria · NGA8Normal+0.84supportive
170Oman · OMN8Normal+0.84supportive
171Ireland · IRL7Normal+0.86supportive
172United Arab Emirates · ARE7Normal+0.86supportive
173Chad · TCD6Normal+0.88supportive
174Djibouti · DJI6Normal+0.88supportive
175Peru · PER6Normal+0.88supportive
176Syria · SYR6Normal+0.88supportive
177Vietnam · VNM6Normal+0.88supportive
178Afghanistan · AFG5Normal+0.90supportive
179Andorra · AND5Normal+0.90supportive
180Azerbaijan · AZE5Normal+0.90supportive
181Brunei · BRN5Normal+0.90supportive
182Denmark · DNK5Normal+0.90supportive
183Haiti · HTI5Normal+0.90supportive
184Kiribati · KIR5Normal+0.90supportive
185Liechtenstein · LIE5Normal+0.90supportive
186Macao · MAC5Normal+0.90supportive
187Micronesia, Fed. Sts. · FSM5Normal+0.90supportive
188Naoero · NRU5Normal+0.90supportive
189Samoa · WSM5Normal+0.90supportive
190Turkmenistan · TKM5Normal+0.90supportive
191Tuvalu · TUV5Normal+0.90supportive
192Uzbekistan · UZB5Normal+0.90supportive