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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Sentiment/Botswana

Sentiment

Botswana — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
0.00balancedWatch

Macro stress 50/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — Botswana’s macro dimensions
GrowthElevated
−0.22cautious

Stress 61/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1975–2025
−0.06Deteriorating

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Span change

−0.24

Latest step

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
−0.16cautiousElevated

Projected macro stress 58/100

Change vs now

−0.16 sentiment

+8 stress

GrowthStressed

Projected -1.9 · stress 83/100

InflationWatch

Projected 2.93 · stress 36/100

LabourStressed

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey not covered

No observed survey sentiment is currently held for Botswana.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
Not coveredNot covered

No OECD Consumer Confidence Index is held for "BWA" (OECD covers ~41 economies).

Would require: An ingested OECD Consumer Confidence Index series for this country (OECD covers ~41 economies).

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived

Alerts

Get notified

We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

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Inflation
Normal
+0.50supportive

Stress 25/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourStressed
−0.90stressed

Stress 95/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalNormal
+0.44supportive

Stress 28/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalNormal
+0.60supportive

Stress 20/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

+0.23

Years

51

Confidence

High

AI read

Projected 25.02 · stress 95/100

Debt / fiscalNormal

Projected 40.14 · stress 21/100

ExternalNormal

Projected 4.55 · stress 23/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read
Not covered
Not covered

No OECD Consumer Confidence Index is held for "BWA" (the soft signal; OECD covers ~41 economies).

Would require: Both an ingested OECD Consumer Confidence Index series (OECD covers ~41 economies) AND a derivable macro-pressure sentiment (live growth/inflation/labour/fiscal/external) for this country.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/BWA/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs