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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Sentiment/Switzerland

Sentiment

Switzerland — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
+0.38supportiveNormal

Macro stress 31/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — Switzerland’s macro dimensions
GrowthWatch
−0.04balanced

Stress 52/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1961–2025
+0.45Deteriorating

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
+0.46supportiveNormal

Projected macro stress 27/100

Change vs now

+0.08 sentiment

-4 stress

GrowthWatch

Projected 1.49 · stress 42/100

InflationNormal

Projected -0.11 · stress 5/100

LabourWatch

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger 51018ed

Switzerland: consumer confidence is 96.86072 (below-trend pessimism); soft vs hard sentiment is divergent — confidence behind fundamentals.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
96.86

Alerts

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We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

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Inflation
Normal
+0.90supportive

Stress 5/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourWatch
0.00balanced

Stress 50/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalNormal
+0.74supportive

Stress 13/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalNormal
+0.70supportive

Stress 15/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

Span change

−0.30

Latest step

+0.01

Years

65

Confidence

High

AI read

Projected 4.82 · stress 42/100

Debt / fiscalNormal

Projected 39.2 · stress 20/100

ExternalNormal

Projected 7.69 · stress 5/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read

OECD SDMX API

Below-trend pessimismvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▼−0.373m ▼−0.93YoY ▼−0.01

Consumer confidence in Switzerland is 96.86 — below the 100 long-run trend (below-trend pessimism) and falling.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
DivergentConfidence behind fundamentalsconf high
Soft (survey)
-0.63

CCI 96.86 · pessimistic

Hard (macro)
+0.38

supportive · pressure 31

Gap (soft − hard)
-1.01

>0 = confidence ahead

DIVERGENCE for Switzerland: consumers are gloomier than the macro fundamentals justify (confidence lagging behind the hard data).

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/CHE/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs