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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Sentiment/Spain

Sentiment

Spain — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
+0.08balancedWatch

Macro stress 46/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — Spain’s macro dimensions
GrowthNormal
+0.32supportive

Stress 34/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1961–2025
+0.05Deteriorating

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
+0.12balancedWatch

Projected macro stress 44/100

Change vs now

+0.04 sentiment

-2 stress

GrowthNormal

Projected 3.48 · stress 18/100

InflationWatch

Projected 2.83 · stress 35/100

LabourStressed

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger 51018ed

Spain: consumer confidence is 98.46017 (below-trend pessimism); soft vs hard sentiment is mixed.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
98.46

Alerts

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We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

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Inflation
Normal
+0.50supportive

Stress 25/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourStressed
−0.56stressed

Stress 78/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalElevated
−0.10cautious

Stress 55/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalWatch
+0.18balanced

Stress 41/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

Span change

−0.80

Latest step

−0.01

Years

65

Confidence

High

AI read

Projected 9.31 · stress 78/100

Debt / fiscalElevated

Projected 100.69 · stress 63/100

ExternalNormal

Projected 3.11 · stress 31/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read

OECD SDMX API

Below-trend pessimismvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▼−0.023m ▼−0.63YoY ▼−0.73

Consumer confidence in Spain is 98.46 — below the 100 long-run trend (below-trend pessimism) and falling.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
Mixedconf high
Soft (survey)
-0.31

CCI 98.46 · pessimistic

Hard (macro)
+0.08

balanced · pressure 46

Gap (soft − hard)
-0.39

>0 = confidence ahead

Soft and hard sentiment for Spain are MIXED — one side is around its neutral reference, so there is no clear divergence.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/ESP/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs