PredictonomyPredictonomy
Home
Countries
Indicators
Sectors
Sentiment
Studios
Briefings
Methodology
Sign in
PredictonomyPredictonomy

Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

Explore

  • Home
  • Countries
  • Indicators
  • Sectors
  • Sentiment
  • Studios
  • Briefings
  • Methodology
  • Global dashboard
  • Signals

Company

  • Pricing
  • Developers
  • Data status
  • About
  • Legal

Weekly newsletter

One email a week, every figure sourced from Predictonomy's own data. Learn more →

World/Sentiment/Estonia

Sentiment

Estonia — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
0.00balancedWatch

Macro stress 50/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — Estonia’s macro dimensions
GrowthWatch
+0.10balanced

Stress 45/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1991–2025
+0.03Improving

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Span change

+0.29

Latest step

−0.02

Years

35

Confidence

High

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
+0.02balancedWatch

Projected macro stress 49/100

Change vs now

+0.02 sentiment

-1 stress

GrowthWatch

Projected 1.5 · stress 42/100

InflationElevated

Projected 6.01 · stress 73/100

LabourElevated

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger 51018ed

Estonia: consumer confidence is 94.63013 (below-trend pessimism); soft vs hard sentiment is mixed.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
94.63

Alerts

Get notified

We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

Sentiment alertsSign in to set sentiment alerts.

Manage your alerts on your account.

Inflation
Elevated
−0.34cautious

Stress 67/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourStressed
−0.56stressed

Stress 78/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalNormal
+0.64supportive

Stress 18/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalWatch
+0.14balanced

Stress 43/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

AI read

Projected 8.65 · stress 72/100

Debt / fiscalNormal

Projected 26.1 · stress 11/100

ExternalWatch

Projected -0.4 · stress 52/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read

OECD SDMX API

Below-trend pessimismvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▼−0.863m ▼−1.76YoY ▲+1.14

Consumer confidence in Estonia is 94.63 — below the 100 long-run trend (below-trend pessimism) and falling.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
Mixedconf high
Soft (survey)
-1.00

CCI 94.63 · pessimistic

Hard (macro)
+0.00

balanced · pressure 50

Gap (soft − hard)
-1.00

>0 = confidence ahead

Soft and hard sentiment for Estonia are MIXED — one side is around its neutral reference, so there is no clear divergence.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/EST/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs