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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Sentiment/France

Sentiment

France — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
−0.10cautiousElevated

Macro stress 55/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — France’s macro dimensions
GrowthElevated
−0.16cautious

Stress 58/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1961–2025
0.00Deteriorating

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
0.00balancedWatch

Projected macro stress 50/100

Change vs now

+0.10 sentiment

-5 stress

GrowthWatch

Projected 0.91 · stress 49/100

InflationNormal

Projected 0.76 · stress 10/100

LabourElevated

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger 51018ed

France: consumer confidence is 97.15797 (below-trend pessimism); soft vs hard sentiment is mixed.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
97.16

Alerts

Get notified

We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

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Inflation
Normal
+0.90supportive

Stress 5/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourElevated
−0.42cautious

Stress 71/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalStressed
−0.64stressed

Stress 82/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalElevated
−0.20cautious

Stress 60/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

Span change

−0.70

Latest step

+0.01

Years

65

Confidence

High

AI read

Projected 7.44 · stress 62/100

Debt / fiscalStressed

Projected 118.15 · stress 76/100

ExternalWatch

Projected -0.39 · stress 52/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read

OECD SDMX API

Below-trend pessimismvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▲+0.063m ▼−0.64YoY ▼−0.72

Consumer confidence in France is 97.16 — below the 100 long-run trend (below-trend pessimism) and falling.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
Mixedconf high
Soft (survey)
-0.57

CCI 97.16 · pessimistic

Hard (macro)
-0.10

cautious · pressure 55

Gap (soft − hard)
-0.47

>0 = confidence ahead

Soft and hard sentiment for France are MIXED — one side is around its neutral reference, so there is no clear divergence.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/FRA/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs