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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

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World/Sentiment/Hungary

Sentiment

Hungary — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
−0.12cautiousElevated

Macro stress 56/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — Hungary’s macro dimensions
GrowthElevated
−0.24cautious

Stress 62/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1973–2025
+0.04Deteriorating

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Span change

−0.57

Latest step

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
0.00balancedWatch

Projected macro stress 50/100

Change vs now

+0.12 sentiment

-6 stress

GrowthWatch

Projected 0.96 · stress 48/100

InflationElevated

Projected 5.75 · stress 70/100

LabourWatch

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger 51018ed

Hungary: consumer confidence is 102.9963 (above-trend optimism); soft vs hard sentiment is divergent — confidence ahead of fundamentals.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
103.00

Alerts

Get notified

We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

Sentiment alertsSign in to set sentiment alerts.

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Inflation
Elevated
−0.24cautious

Stress 62/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourWatch
+0.06balanced

Stress 47/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalWatch
−0.08balanced

Stress 54/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalWatch
0.00balanced

Stress 50/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

−0.05

Years

53

Confidence

High

AI read

Projected 4.62 · stress 40/100

Debt / fiscalWatch

Projected 75.58 · stress 46/100

ExternalWatch

Projected 1.5 · stress 41/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read

OECD SDMX API

Above-trend optimismvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▲+0.693m ▲+1.97YoY ▲+3.47

Consumer confidence in Hungary is 103 — above the 100 long-run trend (above-trend optimism) and rising.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
DivergentConfidence ahead of fundamentalsconf high
Soft (survey)
+0.60

CCI 103 · optimistic

Hard (macro)
-0.12

cautious · pressure 56

Gap (soft − hard)
+0.72

>0 = confidence ahead

DIVERGENCE for Hungary: consumers are more upbeat than the macro fundamentals justify (confidence running ahead of the hard data).

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/HUN/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs