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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Sentiment/South Korea

Sentiment

South Korea — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
+0.36supportiveNormal

Macro stress 32/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — South Korea’s macro dimensions
GrowthElevated
−0.12cautious

Stress 56/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1961–2025
+0.37Improving

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
+0.36supportiveNormal

Projected macro stress 32/100

Change vs now

0.00 sentiment

0 stress

GrowthWatch

Projected 0.87 · stress 50/100

InflationNormal

Projected 2.17 · stress 27/100

LabourNormal

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger 51018ed

South Korea: consumer confidence is 100.7215 (above-trend optimism); soft vs hard sentiment is aligned.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
100.72

Alerts

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We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

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Inflation
Normal
+0.64supportive

Stress 18/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourNormal
+0.68supportive

Stress 16/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalWatch
+0.24balanced

Stress 38/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalNormal
+0.90supportive

Stress 5/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

Span change

+0.19

Latest step

−0.05

Years

65

Confidence

High

AI read

Projected 2.43 · stress 22/100

Debt / fiscalNormal

Projected 54.09 · stress 31/100

ExternalNormal

Projected 6.78 · stress 9/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read

OECD SDMX API

Above-trend optimismvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▲+0.183m ▼−0.09YoY ▼−0.11

Consumer confidence in South Korea is 100.72 — above the 100 long-run trend (above-trend optimism) and broadly flat.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
Alignedconf high
Soft (survey)
+0.14

CCI 100.72 · optimistic

Hard (macro)
+0.36

supportive · pressure 32

Gap (soft − hard)
-0.22

>0 = confidence ahead

Soft (consumer confidence) and hard (macro fundamentals) sentiment AGREE for South Korea — both point the same way.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/KOR/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs