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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Sentiment/Lithuania

Sentiment

Lithuania — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
+0.18balancedWatch

Macro stress 41/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — Lithuania’s macro dimensions
GrowthNormal
+0.34supportive

Stress 33/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1991–2025
+0.27Improving

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Span change

+0.50

Latest step

−0.18

Years

35

Confidence

High

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
+0.22balancedWatch

Projected macro stress 39/100

Change vs now

+0.04 sentiment

-2 stress

GrowthNormal

Projected 3.61 · stress 17/100

InflationElevated

Projected 5.93 · stress 72/100

LabourElevated

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger 51018ed

Lithuania: consumer confidence is 101.1768 (above-trend optimism); soft vs hard sentiment is aligned.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
101.18

Alerts

Get notified

We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

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Inflation
Elevated
−0.10balanced

Stress 55/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourWatch
+0.02balanced

Stress 49/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalNormal
+0.42supportive

Stress 29/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalWatch
0.00balanced

Stress 50/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

AI read

Projected 6.48 · stress 55/100

Debt / fiscalNormal

Projected 39.9 · stress 21/100

ExternalWatch

Projected 1.03 · stress 44/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read

OECD SDMX API

Above-trend optimismvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▲+0.143m ▼−0.04YoY ▼−0.66

Consumer confidence in Lithuania is 101.18 — above the 100 long-run trend (above-trend optimism) and broadly flat.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
Alignedconf high
Soft (survey)
+0.24

CCI 101.18 · optimistic

Hard (macro)
+0.18

balanced · pressure 41

Gap (soft − hard)
+0.06

>0 = confidence ahead

Soft (consumer confidence) and hard (macro fundamentals) sentiment AGREE for Lithuania — both point the same way.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/LTU/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs