PredictonomyPredictonomy
Home
Countries
Indicators
Sectors
Sentiment
Studios
Briefings
Methodology
Sign in
PredictonomyPredictonomy

Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

Explore

  • Home
  • Countries
  • Indicators
  • Sectors
  • Sentiment
  • Studios
  • Briefings
  • Methodology
  • Global dashboard
  • Signals

Company

  • Pricing
  • Developers
  • Data status
  • About
  • Legal

Weekly newsletter

One email a week, every figure sourced from Predictonomy's own data. Learn more →

World/Sentiment/Mexico

Sentiment

Mexico — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
+0.14balancedWatch

Macro stress 43/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — Mexico’s macro dimensions
GrowthElevated
−0.22cautious

Stress 61/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1961–2025
+0.15Deteriorating

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
+0.14balancedWatch

Projected macro stress 43/100

Change vs now

0.00 sentiment

0 stress

GrowthElevated

Projected 0.13 · stress 58/100

InflationWatch

Projected 3.55 · stress 44/100

LabourNormal

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger 51018ed

Mexico: consumer confidence is 102.0979 (above-trend optimism); soft vs hard sentiment is aligned.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
102.10

Alerts

Get notified

We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

Sentiment alertsSign in to set sentiment alerts.

Manage your alerts on your account.

Inflation
Watch
+0.22balanced

Stress 39/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourNormal
+0.68supportive

Stress 16/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalWatch
+0.12balanced

Stress 44/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalWatch
+0.12balanced

Stress 44/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

Span change

−0.63

Latest step

−0.01

Years

65

Confidence

High

AI read

Projected 2.29 · stress 21/100

Debt / fiscalWatch

Projected 62.49 · stress 37/100

ExternalWatch

Projected -0.42 · stress 53/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read

OECD SDMX API

Above-trend optimismvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▼−0.073m ▼−0.31YoY ▼−1.56

Consumer confidence in Mexico is 102.1 — above the 100 long-run trend (above-trend optimism) and falling.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
Alignedconf high
Soft (survey)
+0.42

CCI 102.1 · optimistic

Hard (macro)
+0.14

balanced · pressure 43

Gap (soft − hard)
+0.28

>0 = confidence ahead

Soft (consumer confidence) and hard (macro fundamentals) sentiment AGREE for Mexico — both point the same way.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/MEX/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs