Sentiment · projected
Which economies are projected to improve or deteriorate most in macro sentiment — today's derived composite vs the forward outlook projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts. A projection, not observed; higher sentiment = more supportive.
Projected movers
Across the 216 economies with both a current reading and a projectable outlook. The horizon is each economy's nearest projected year.
| Economy | Now | 2023 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Bank and Gaza PSE | −0.04 | +0.38 | +0.42 |
| Sierra Leone SLE | +0.20 | +0.56 | +0.36 |
| Argentina ARG | +0.12 | +0.42 | +0.30 |
| Marshall Islands MHL | +0.44 | +0.72 | +0.28 |
| DR Congo COD | +0.22 | +0.48 | +0.26 |
| Belize BLZ | +0.10 | +0.34 | +0.24 |
| Laos LAO | +0.34 | +0.58 | +0.24 |
| Zimbabwe ZWE | +0.26 | +0.50 | +0.24 |
| Mauritius MUS | −0.06 | +0.12 | +0.18 |
| Barbados BRB | +0.12 | +0.28 | +0.16 |
| Economy | Now | 2026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macao MAC | +0.76 | +0.30 | −0.46 |
| Isle of Man IMN | −0.52 | −0.90 | −0.38 |
| American Samoa ASM | +0.38 | +0.10 | −0.28 |
| Cuba CUB | +0.16 | −0.10 | −0.26 |
| Eritrea ERI | +0.16 | 0.00 | −0.16 |
| Benin BEN | +0.66 | +0.52 | −0.14 |
| Botswana BWA | 0.00 | −0.14 | −0.14 |
| Mozambique MOZ | −0.26 | −0.40 | −0.14 |
| St. Martin (French part) MAF | +0.90 | +0.76 | −0.14 |
| Afghanistan AFG | −0.06 | −0.18 | −0.12 |
Each economy’s outlook feeds its baseline driver projections through the same macro-sentiment composite. Back to sentiment →
| Region | Economies | Avg change | Improving | Deteriorating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America | 3 | +0.04 | 2 | 1 |
| Latin America & Caribbean | 41 | +0.03 | 24 | 13 |
| Europe & Central Asia | 57 | +0.02 | 33 | 20 |
| Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan | 23 | +0.02 | 13 | 9 |
| Sub-Saharan Africa | 48 | +0.02 | 21 | 25 |
| East Asia & Pacific | 37 | 0.00 | 19 | 16 |
| Imported | 1 | −0.02 | 0 | 1 |
| South Asia | 6 | −0.02 | 2 | 4 |
