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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

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World/Sentiment/NMQ

Sentiment

NMQ — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
−0.04balancedWatch

Macro stress 52/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: Moderate
As of 2026
By aspect — NMQ’s macro dimensions
GrowthNormal
+0.48supportive

Stress 26/100 · as of 2026

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1980–2026
−0.01Improving

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Span change

+0.27

Latest step

0.00

Years

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2027

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2027 · projection
−0.06balancedWatch

Projected macro stress 53/100

Change vs now

−0.02 sentiment

+1 stress

GrowthWatch

Projected 1.88 · stress 37/100

InflationWatch

Projected 3.44 · stress 42/100

Debt / fiscalStressed

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey not covered

No observed survey sentiment is currently held for NMQ.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
Not coveredNot covered

No OECD Consumer Confidence Index is held for "NMQ" (OECD covers ~41 economies).

Would require: An ingested OECD Consumer Confidence Index series for this country (OECD covers ~41 economies).

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived

Alerts

Get notified

We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

Sentiment alertsSign in to set sentiment alerts.

Manage your alerts on your account.

Inflation
Watch
+0.06balanced

Stress 47/100 · as of 2026

Debt / fiscalStressed
−0.72stressed

Stress 86/100 · as of 2026

ExternalElevated
−0.40cautious

Stress 70/100 · as of 2026

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

47

Confidence

Moderate

AI read

Projected 122.64 · stress 79/100

ExternalElevated

Projected -3.47 · stress 71/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 4/5 drivers (1 without a projection) · Moderate confidence.
AI read
Not covered
Not covered

No OECD Consumer Confidence Index is held for "NMQ" (the soft signal; OECD covers ~41 economies).

Would require: Both an ingested OECD Consumer Confidence Index series (OECD covers ~41 economies) AND a derivable macro-pressure sentiment (live growth/inflation/labour/fiscal/external) for this country.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/NMQ/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs