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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

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World/Sentiment/OAE

Sentiment

OAE — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
+0.32supportiveNormal

Macro stress 34/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2026
By aspect — OAE’s macro dimensions
GrowthWatch
+0.26balanced

Stress 37/100 · as of 2026

Inflation

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1980–2026
+0.44Improving

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Span change

+0.33

Latest step

−0.06

Years

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2027

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2027 · projection
+0.42supportiveNormal

Projected macro stress 29/100

Change vs now

+0.10 sentiment

-5 stress

GrowthNormal

Projected 2.52 · stress 30/100

InflationNormal

Projected 2.64 · stress 33/100

LabourNormal

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey not covered

No observed survey sentiment is currently held for OAE.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
Not coveredNot covered

No OECD Consumer Confidence Index is held for "OAE" (OECD covers ~41 economies).

Would require: An ingested OECD Consumer Confidence Index series for this country (OECD covers ~41 economies).

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived

Alerts

Get notified

We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

Sentiment alertsSign in to set sentiment alerts.

Manage your alerts on your account.

Watch
+0.24balanced

Stress 38/100 · as of 2026

LabourNormal
+0.36supportive

Stress 32/100 · as of 2026

Debt / fiscalWatch
+0.26balanced

Stress 37/100 · as of 2026

ExternalNormal
+0.60supportive

Stress 20/100 · as of 2026

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

47

Confidence

High

AI read

Projected 3.52 · stress 31/100

Debt / fiscalNormal

Projected 53.15 · stress 30/100

ExternalNormal

Projected 6.66 · stress 10/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read
Not covered
Not covered

No OECD Consumer Confidence Index is held for "OAE" (the soft signal; OECD covers ~41 economies).

Would require: Both an ingested OECD Consumer Confidence Index series (OECD covers ~41 economies) AND a derivable macro-pressure sentiment (live growth/inflation/labour/fiscal/external) for this country.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/OAE/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs