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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Sentiment/Portugal

Sentiment

Portugal — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
+0.18balancedWatch

Macro stress 41/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — Portugal’s macro dimensions
GrowthWatch
+0.08balanced

Stress 46/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1961–2025
+0.14Deteriorating

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
+0.14balancedWatch

Projected macro stress 43/100

Change vs now

−0.04 sentiment

+2 stress

GrowthWatch

Projected 1.88 · stress 37/100

InflationNormal

Projected 2.51 · stress 31/100

LabourWatch

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger 51018ed

Portugal: consumer confidence is 98.26111 (below-trend pessimism); soft vs hard sentiment is divergent — confidence behind fundamentals.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
98.26

Alerts

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We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

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Inflation
Normal
+0.58supportive

Stress 21/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourWatch
+0.12balanced

Stress 44/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalWatch
+0.04balanced

Stress 48/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalWatch
−0.02balanced

Stress 51/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

Span change

−0.64

Latest step

−0.01

Years

65

Confidence

High

AI read

Projected 6.06 · stress 51/100

Debt / fiscalWatch

Projected 85.38 · stress 53/100

ExternalWatch

Projected 1.35 · stress 42/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read

OECD SDMX API

Below-trend pessimismvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▲+0.433m ◆0YoY ▼−1.42

Consumer confidence in Portugal is 98.26 — below the 100 long-run trend (below-trend pessimism) and broadly flat.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
DivergentConfidence behind fundamentalsconf high
Soft (survey)
-0.35

CCI 98.26 · pessimistic

Hard (macro)
+0.18

balanced · pressure 41

Gap (soft − hard)
-0.53

>0 = confidence ahead

DIVERGENCE for Portugal: consumers are gloomier than the macro fundamentals justify (confidence lagging behind the hard data).

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/PRT/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs