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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Sentiment/Russia

Sentiment

Russia — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
+0.08balancedWatch

Macro stress 46/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — Russia’s macro dimensions
GrowthElevated
−0.12cautious

Stress 56/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1990–2025
+0.15Improving

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Span change

+0.33

Latest step

−0.27

Years

36

Confidence

High

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
+0.12balancedWatch

Projected macro stress 44/100

Change vs now

+0.04 sentiment

-2 stress

GrowthElevated

Projected 0.33 · stress 56/100

InflationStressed

Projected 8.75 · stress 95/100

LabourNormal

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger 51018ed

Russia: consumer confidence is 99.61455 (at-trend); soft vs hard sentiment is mixed.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
99.61

Alerts

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We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

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Inflation
Stressed
−0.90stressed

Stress 95/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourNormal
+0.76supportive

Stress 12/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalNormal
+0.74supportive

Stress 13/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalWatch
+0.04balanced

Stress 48/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

AI read

Projected 1.41 · stress 14/100

Debt / fiscalNormal

Projected 17.41 · stress 5/100

ExternalWatch

Projected 1.13 · stress 43/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read

OECD SDMX API

At-trendvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▲+0.33m ▲+0.98YoY ▲+3.98

Consumer confidence in Russia is 99.61 — around the 100 long-run trend (at-trend) and rising.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
Mixedconf high
Soft (survey)
-0.08

CCI 99.61 · neutral

Hard (macro)
+0.08

balanced · pressure 46

Gap (soft − hard)
-0.16

>0 = confidence ahead

Soft and hard sentiment for Russia are MIXED — one side is around its neutral reference, so there is no clear divergence.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/RUS/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs