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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Sentiment/Türkiye

Sentiment

Türkiye — sentiment

Two reads side by side: the OBSERVED OECD Consumer Confidence survey (how people feel) and the soft-vs-hard DIVERGENCE against the derived macro fundamentals (what the data says). Observed values are real and sourced; the divergence is a transparent comparison of two disclosed scores — never a forecast, and an absent series is shown honestly.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

By aspect

Composite + macro dimensions

The derived sentiment composite and the aspects driving it (growth, inflation, labour, fiscal, external). GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=dimensions.

Composite sentiment · derived
+0.18balancedWatch

Macro stress 41/100 · sentiment scale −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive) · ⓘ How this score works

Confidence: High
As of 2025-12-31
By aspect — Türkiye’s macro dimensions
GrowthNormal
+0.82supportive

Stress 9/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Momentum

Sentiment trajectory

Derived sentiment recomputed per year of held macro history — the direction of travel, not a forecast. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/history.

Sentiment trajectory · 1961–2025
+0.07Deteriorating

Derived sentiment, −1 (stressed) … +1 (supportive)

Outlook

Forward sentiment · 2026

The sentiment composite projected from the prediction engine's baseline forecasts — a projection, not observed. GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}?include=forecast.

Outlook · 2026 · projection
+0.06balancedWatch

Projected macro stress 47/100

Change vs now

−0.12 sentiment

+6 stress

GrowthNormal

Projected 3.06 · stress 23/100

InflationStressed

Projected 25.07 · stress 95/100

LabourElevated

Survey vs fundamentals

Survey + divergence

Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/{iso3}/survey and /divergence.

Survey heldledger 51018ed

Türkiye: consumer confidence is 99.98977 (at-trend); soft vs hard sentiment is mixed.

Consumer confidence (survey)

Observed
OECD Consumer Confidence Index
99.99

Alerts

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We'll email you when this economy's derived sentiment crosses your threshold (−1 stressed … +1 supportive). Edge-triggered — one email when it crosses, not while it stays past the line.

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Inflation
Stressed
−0.74stressed

Stress 87/100 · as of 2025-12-31

LabourElevated
−0.26cautious

Stress 63/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Debt / fiscalNormal
+0.90supportive

Stress 5/100 · as of 2025-12-31

ExternalElevated
−0.38cautious

Stress 69/100 · as of 2025-12-31

Each aspect is a single macro-pressure driver — a narrow proxy, not a multi-signal sector model.

Span change

−0.06

Latest step

+0.01

Years

65

Confidence

High

AI read

Projected 7.56 · stress 63/100

Debt / fiscalNormal

Projected 23.12 · stress 9/100

ExternalElevated

Projected -2.11 · stress 63/100

Projection · not observedDerived from the prediction engine’s baseline projections for 5/5 drivers · High confidence.
AI read

OECD SDMX API

At-trendvs 100 long-run trend
MoM ▲+0.363m ▲+0.72YoY ▲+0.88

Consumer confidence in Türkiye is 99.99 — around the 100 long-run trend (at-trend) and rising.

Soft vs hard divergence

Derived
Mixedconf high
Soft (survey)
+0.00

CCI 99.99 · neutral

Hard (macro)
+0.18

balanced · pressure 41

Gap (soft − hard)
-0.18

>0 = confidence ahead

Soft and hard sentiment for Türkiye are MIXED — one side is around its neutral reference, so there is no clear divergence.

Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/sentiment/country/TUR/survey · /divergence · Full brief → · API docs