Europe & Central Asia · High income
Country-level macro health, latest observations, scenario forecasts and drivers — with sources and freshness on every figure.
Macro health
Every component is clickable — deep-link to its sector page and underlying indicator.
Macro pressure
DerivedRegime
Derived from real GDP growth level × momentum, with turning-point flags scanned across growth, inflation and unemployment. A backward-looking read, not a forecast.
Slowdown
No turning-point signals — momentum steady, no extreme readings.
Full picture — observed macro + sentiment + regime — in the country brief.
Snapshot
World Bank Indicators API · 2023
Sectors
One card per sector — health score, trend and top driver. Property and Credit are powered by live UK micro data; others reuse the macro-pressure pillars. Drill into any sector for its signals.
Transmission
How a macro signal propagates into micro consequences. Each node is a live signal; hover an arrow for the lag and narrative.
npm run hierarchy:remap). For the UK: Bank Rate → mortgage pricing → arrears and house prices.Trajectory
GDP (current US$)
Real GDP growth
Signal narrative
Improving
No components improved on the latest reading.
Deteriorating
Growth, Labour
Forecast
Latest observed value (canonical source) plus baseline forecasts across horizons.
| Indicator | Latest | 1y | 3y | 5y | 10y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD exchange rate | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending |
| GBP/USD exchange rate | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending |
| USD/JPY exchange rate |
Sources
Observations and predictions come from the enabled indicator catalog and the latest prediction run. Read the full process on the methodology page.
Transparent 0–100 composite of growth, inflation, labour, fiscal and external pressure for Channel Islands. Higher means more macro pressure. A heuristic read of current conditions — not a forecast.
Macro-pressure trajectory · 0–100, higher = more pressure
World Bank Indicators API · 2023
World Bank WDI
World Bank Indicators API · 2025
IMF DataMapper API
IMF DataMapper API
| Pending |
| Pending |
| Pending |
| Pending |
| Pending |
| Gross domestic product, current US dollars | $12.5bn | $0.0T | $0.0T | $0.0T | $0.0T |
| Total population | 168.1k | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Real GDP growth | 3.7% | 2.16% | -0.76% | -3.68% | -10.00% |
| GDP per capita, current US dollars | $74.6k | $78.0K | $86.3K | $94.6K | $115.4K |
| Consumer price inflation | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending |
| Unemployment rate | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Productivity growth | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending |
| General government debt to GDP | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending |
| Current account balance to GDP | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending |
| Exports of goods and services | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending |
| Imports of goods and services | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending |
| Gross fixed capital formation to GDP | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending |
| Consumer confidence index | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending |
| Business confidence index | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending |
Latest GDP: $12.5bn — World Bank Indicators API · 2023 vintage. Forecast horizons are baseline values from the latest prediction run.