output · indicator
Annual percentage growth rate of real gross domestic product.
Global · 2026
Baseline · 2027
How it’s forecast
Real GDP growth uses a weighted composite model with a 6-year lookback, 62% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
Why it matters
Higher readings are generally healthier for this metric.
Trajectory
Before consensus
Countries whose latest reading deviates most from their own recent trend.
Rankings
By country
Observed history with a baseline / optimistic / pessimistic forecast for the largest current readings.
Forecast
Per-country latest reading and baseline forecast across horizons.
| Country | Latest | Year | 1y | 3y | 5y | 10y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan | 3.00% | 2025 | 3.97% | 6.66% | 9.36% | 12.00% |
| Albania | 3.40% | 2026 | 2.94% | 1.86% | 0.79% | -1.91% |
| Algeria | 3.80% | 2026 | 3.83% | 3.90% | 3.97% | 4.13% |
| American Samoa | 1.74% | 2022 | 1.23% | 0.39% | -0.44% | -2.51% |
| Andorra | 2.10% | 2026 | 1.36% | -0.45% | -2.27% | -6.80% |
| Angola | 2.30% | 2026 | 1.68% | 0.39% | -0.91% | -4.16% |
| Antigua and Barbuda | 2.60% | 2026 | 1.91% | 0.28% | -1.35% | -5.43% |
| Argentina | 3.50% | 2026 | 4.58% | 6.73% | 8.89% | 12.00% |
| Armenia | 5.30% | 2026 | 5.01% | 4.18% | 3.35% | 1.28% |
| Aruba | 2.30% | 2026 | 0.38% | -4.12% | -8.61% | -10.00% |
| Australia | 2.00% | 2026 | 2.13% | 2.32% | 2.51% | 3.00% |
| Austria | 0.70% | 2026 | 0.80% | 0.87% | 0.95% | 1.15% |
| Azerbaijan | 2.20% | 2026 | 1.41% | -0.27% | -1.96% | -6.18% |
| Bahamas, The | 2.10% | 2026 | 0.86% | -2.13% | -5.12% | -10.00% |
| Bahrain | -0.50% | 2026 | -1.62% | -4.30% | -6.98% | -10.00% |
| Bangladesh | 4.70% | 2026 | 4.63% | 4.41% | 4.20% | 3.66% |
| Barbados | 2.50% | 2026 | 2.29% | 1.63% | 0.96% | -0.69% |
| Belarus | 1.20% | 2026 | 0.47% | -1.02% | -2.52% | -6.24% |
| Belgium | 0.70% | 2026 | 0.28% | -0.76% | -1.80% | -4.40% |
| Belize | 2.20% | 2026 | 0.98% | -1.91% | -4.79% | -10.00% |
| Benin | 7.00% | 2026 | 6.90% | 6.71% | 6.52% | 6.03% |
| Bermuda | 5.97% | 2024 | 6.33% | 7.44% | 8.55% | 11.32% |
| Bhutan | 7.50% | 2026 | 8.08% | 9.44% | 10.80% | 12.00% |
| Bolivia | -3.30% | 2026 | -4.61% | -7.81% | -10.00% | -10.00% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2.20% | 2026 | 1.69% | 0.52% | -0.64% | -3.56% |
| Botswana | 4.70% | 2026 | 6.35% | 9.79% | 12.00% | 12.00% |
| Brazil | 1.90% | 2026 | 1.32% | 0.03% | -1.27% | -4.51% |
| Brunei | 2.60% | 2026 | 2.38% | 2.15% | 1.91% | 1.32% |
| Bulgaria | 2.80% | 2026 | 2.39% | 1.45% | 0.52% | -1.83% |
| Burkina Faso | 4.90% | 2026 | 4.92% | 5.02% | 5.12% | 5.37% |
| Burundi | 3.80% | 2026 | 3.77% | 3.76% | 3.75% | 3.73% |
| Cabo Verde | 4.80% | 2026 | 3.77% | 1.39% | -0.99% | -6.94% |
| Cambodia | 4.00% | 2026 | 3.48% | 2.37% | 1.26% | -1.53% |
| Cameroon | 3.30% | 2026 | 3.21% | 3.03% | 2.85% | 2.40% |
| Canada | 1.50% | 2026 | 1.23% | 0.55% | -0.13% | -1.82% |
| Cayman Islands | 5.82% | 2023 | 6.22% | 7.30% | 8.39% | 11.12% |
| Central African Republic | 2.60% | 2026 | 3.14% | 4.29% | 5.45% | 8.35% |
| Chad | 5.20% | 2026 | 5.75% | 7.01% | 8.26% | 11.39% |
| Channel Islands | 3.72% | 2023 | 2.16% | -0.76% | -3.68% | -10.00% |
| Chile | 2.40% | 2026 | 1.93% | 0.87% | -0.19% | -2.85% |
| China | 4.40% | 2026 | 4.10% | 3.40% | 2.70% | 0.96% |
| Colombia | 2.30% | 2026 | 2.02% | 1.24% | 0.47% | -1.47% |
| Comoros | 4.10% | 2026 | 4.44% | 5.22% | 6.01% | 7.97% |
| Congo | 2.80% | 2026 | 2.96% | 3.36% | 3.77% | 4.78% |
| Costa Rica | 3.60% | 2026 | 3.21% | 2.28% | 1.35% | -0.98% |
| Croatia | 2.60% | 2026 | 1.71% | -0.40% | -2.52% | -7.81% |
| Cuba | -1.06% | 2024 | -1.74% | -2.99% | -4.25% | -7.39% |
| Curacao | 5.03% | 2024 | 5.36% | 6.62% | 7.88% | 11.04% |
| Cyprus | 3.00% | 2026 | 2.26% | 0.48% | -1.30% | -5.75% |
| Czechia | 2.20% | 2026 | 2.40% | 2.80% | 3.21% | 4.22% |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 6.20% | 2026 | 6.22% | 6.23% | 6.25% | 6.28% |
| DR Congo | 5.90% | 2026 | 5.72% | 5.23% | 4.75% | 3.53% |
| Denmark | 2.00% | 2026 | 1.45% | 0.26% | -0.92% | -3.88% |
| Djibouti | 6.00% | 2026 | 5.81% | 5.43% | 5.05% | 4.11% |
| Dominica | 3.10% | 2026 | 3.19% | 3.17% | 3.16% | 3.11% |
| Dominican Republic | 3.70% | 2026 | 2.77% | 0.73% | -1.31% | -6.41% |
| Ecuador | 2.50% | 2026 | 3.47% | 5.28% | 7.09% | 11.62% |
| Egypt | 4.20% | 2026 | 4.72% | 5.76% | 6.80% | 9.41% |
| El Salvador | 3.30% | 2026 | 3.14% | 2.67% | 2.19% | 1.01% |
| Equatorial Guinea | -2.70% | 2026 | -4.19% | -7.31% | -10.00% | -10.00% |
| Eritrea | 3.80% | 2019 | 7.53% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% |
| Estonia | 1.40% | 2026 | 1.56% | 1.91% | 2.27% | 3.16% |
| Eswatini | 4.00% | 2026 | 4.35% | 5.16% | 5.97% | 7.99% |
| Ethiopia | 9.20% | 2026 | 9.91% | 11.56% | 12.00% | 12.00% |
| Faroe Islands | 0.84% | 2024 | -0.05% | -2.03% | -4.02% | -8.98% |
| Fiji | 2.40% | 2026 | 2.04% | 1.00% | -0.04% | -2.66% |
| Finland | 1.00% | 2026 | 1.07% | 1.24% | 1.41% | 1.85% |
| France | 0.90% | 2026 | 0.51% | -0.45% | -1.40% | -3.78% |
| French Polynesia | 1.13% | 2024 | 0.87% | 0.44% | 0.00% | -1.08% |
| Gabon | 2.70% | 2026 | 2.54% | 2.23% | 1.92% | 1.14% |
| Gambia, The | 5.10% | 2026 | 4.99% | 4.72% | 4.45% | 3.77% |
| Georgia | 5.30% | 2026 | 3.75% | 0.27% | -3.21% | -10.00% |
| Germany | 0.80% | 2026 | 0.99% | 1.36% | 1.73% | 2.65% |
| Ghana | 4.80% | 2026 | 4.63% | 4.31% | 3.99% | 3.18% |
| Greece | 1.80% | 2026 | 1.34% | 0.19% | -0.96% | -3.82% |
| Greenland | 0.87% | 2023 | 0.66% | 0.18% | -0.29% | -1.47% |
| Grenada | 3.10% | 2026 | 2.73% | 1.82% | 0.91% | -1.36% |
| Guam | 5.10% | 2022 | 9.82% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% |
| Guatemala | 3.90% | 2026 | 3.79% | 3.49% | 3.19% | 2.44% |
| Guinea | 8.70% | 2026 | 9.84% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% |
| Guinea-Bissau | 4.90% | 2026 | 5.12% | 5.53% | 5.95% | 6.98% |
| Guyana | 16.20% | 2026 | 7.05% | -10.00% | -10.00% | -10.00% |
| Haiti | -1.70% | 2026 | -1.02% | 0.40% | 1.83% | 5.39% |
| Honduras | 3.30% | 2026 | 2.81% | 1.62% | 0.42% | -2.56% |
| Hong Kong | 2.40% | 2026 | 2.37% | 2.32% | 2.27% | 2.14% |
| Hungary | 1.70% | 2026 | 1.67% | 1.57% | 1.46% | 1.19% |
| Iceland | 1.90% | 2026 | 2.40% | 3.20% | 4.00% | 6.00% |
| India | 6.50% | 2026 | 6.38% | 5.97% | 5.57% | 4.57% |
| Indonesia | 5.00% | 2026 | 5.05% | 5.15% | 5.26% | 5.53% |
| Iran | -6.10% | 2026 | -9.45% | -10.00% | -10.00% | -10.00% |
| Iraq | -6.80% | 2026 | -8.78% | -10.00% | -10.00% | -10.00% |
| Ireland | 2.50% | 2026 | 2.16% | 1.03% | -0.11% | -2.94% |
| Isle of Man | -4.17% | 2022 | -2.94% | -0.90% | 1.15% | 6.26% |
| Israel | 3.50% | 2026 | 3.91% | 4.66% | 5.41% | 7.29% |
| Italy | 0.50% | 2026 | -0.03% | -1.36% | -2.68% | -5.98% |
| Jamaica | -1.20% | 2026 | -1.84% | -3.50% | -5.16% | -9.30% |
| Japan | 0.70% | 2026 | 0.80% | 0.94% | 1.08% | 1.43% |
| Jordan | 2.70% | 2026 | 2.72% | 2.74% | 2.76% | 2.82% |
| Kazakhstan | 4.60% | 2026 | 4.61% | 4.61% | 4.60% | 4.60% |
| Kenya | 4.50% | 2026 | 4.30% | 3.81% | 3.32% | 2.08% |
| Kiribati | 3.10% | 2026 | 2.25% | 0.36% | -1.53% | -6.25% |
| Kosovo | 4.57% | 2024 | 4.85% | 5.48% | 6.12% | 7.71% |
| Kuwait | -0.60% | 2026 | -0.13% | 0.61% | 1.34% | 3.19% |
| Kyrgyz Republic | 6.10% | 2026 | 5.42% | 3.80% | 2.18% | -1.87% |
| Laos | 4.00% | 2026 | 4.09% | 4.32% | 4.54% | 5.10% |
| Latvia | 2.20% | 2026 | 2.64% | 3.55% | 4.46% | 6.74% |
| Lebanon | 4.00% | 2025 | 6.29% | 11.97% | 12.00% | 12.00% |
| Lesotho | 1.10% | 2026 | 0.52% | -0.74% | -1.99% | -5.13% |
| Liberia | 5.10% | 2026 | 5.42% | 6.11% | 6.80% | 8.51% |
| Libya | 6.70% | 2026 | 7.85% | 9.88% | 11.91% | 12.00% |
| Liechtenstein | -0.40% | 2026 | -1.14% | -2.97% | -4.79% | -9.36% |
| Lithuania | 2.90% | 2026 | 2.79% | 2.57% | 2.35% | 1.79% |
| Luxembourg | 1.60% | 2026 | 1.74% | 2.05% | 2.36% | 3.13% |
| Macao | 3.00% | 2026 | 1.20% | -3.84% | -8.88% | -10.00% |
| Madagascar | 3.60% | 2026 | 3.33% | 2.76% | 2.18% | 0.75% |
| Malawi | 2.20% | 2026 | 2.27% | 2.41% | 2.56% | 2.91% |
| Malaysia | 4.70% | 2026 | 4.57% | 4.25% | 3.93% | 3.14% |
| Maldives | 3.00% | 2026 | 1.14% | -3.52% | -8.18% | -10.00% |
| Mali | 5.50% | 2026 | 5.77% | 6.43% | 7.09% | 8.74% |
| Malta | 3.70% | 2026 | 2.40% | -0.56% | -3.52% | -10.00% |
| Marshall Islands | 3.70% | 2026 | 4.18% | 5.46% | 6.74% | 9.95% |
| Mauritania | 4.40% | 2026 | 3.94% | 2.98% | 2.01% | -0.40% |
| Mauritius | 3.40% | 2026 | 2.82% | 1.51% | 0.20% | -3.08% |
| Mexico | 1.60% | 2026 | 1.36% | 0.74% | 0.12% | -1.43% |
| Micronesia, Fed. Sts. | 0.70% | 2026 | 0.69% | 0.68% | 0.68% | 0.66% |
| Moldova | 1.90% | 2026 | 2.05% | 2.29% | 2.53% | 3.13% |
| Monaco | 8.51% | 2024 | 8.13% | 7.55% | 6.97% | 5.52% |
| Mongolia | 5.30% | 2026 | 5.58% | 6.16% | 6.73% | 8.16% |
| Montenegro | 2.80% | 2026 | 2.11% | 0.37% | -1.36% | -5.71% |
| Morocco | 4.90% | 2026 | 5.15% | 5.68% | 6.22% | 7.56% |
| Mozambique | 0.50% | 2026 | -0.20% | -1.81% | -3.43% | -7.47% |
| Myanmar | 3.00% | 2026 | 4.59% | 8.25% | 11.91% | 12.00% |
| Namibia | 2.40% | 2026 | 1.89% | 0.74% | -0.42% | -3.30% |
| Nauru | 2.10% | 2026 | 2.04% | 1.84% | 1.64% | 1.13% |
| Nepal | 3.00% | 2026 | 2.73% | 2.09% | 1.45% | -0.16% |
| Netherlands | 1.20% | 2026 | 0.95% | 0.31% | -0.34% | -1.94% |
| New Caledonia | -13.50% | 2024 | -10.00% | -10.00% | -10.00% | -10.00% |
| New Zealand | 2.10% | 2026 | 2.11% | 2.14% | 2.16% | 2.21% |
| Nicaragua | 3.80% | 2026 | 3.61% | 3.09% | 2.57% | 1.27% |
| Niger | 6.70% | 2026 | 5.79% | 4.00% | 2.20% | -2.28% |
| Nigeria | 4.10% | 2026 | 4.24% | 4.58% | 4.92% | 5.78% |
| North Macedonia | 3.10% | 2026 | 3.09% | 3.06% | 3.03% | 2.96% |
| Northern Mariana Islands | 16.64% | 2022 | 12.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% |
| Norway | 1.50% | 2026 | 1.16% | 0.44% | -0.29% | -2.11% |
| Oman | 3.50% | 2026 | 3.94% | 4.83% | 5.73% | 7.98% |
| Pakistan | 3.60% | 2026 | 3.59% | 3.58% | 3.57% | 3.55% |
| Palau | 3.30% | 2026 | 1.69% | -1.38% | -4.45% | -10.00% |
| Panama | 3.80% | 2026 | 3.39% | 2.14% | 0.89% | -2.24% |
| Papua New Guinea | 3.80% | 2026 | 4.02% | 4.49% | 4.95% | 6.10% |
| Paraguay | 4.20% | 2026 | 4.36% | 4.71% | 5.07% | 5.95% |
| Peru | 2.80% | 2026 | 2.21% | 0.87% | -0.47% | -3.82% |
| Philippines | 4.10% | 2026 | 3.50% | 2.13% | 0.77% | -2.65% |
| Poland | 3.30% | 2026 | 3.19% | 2.91% | 2.64% | 1.96% |
| Portugal | 1.90% | 2026 | 1.55% | 0.65% | -0.25% | -2.49% |
| Puerto Rico (US) | -0.10% | 2026 | -1.17% | -3.45% | -5.72% | -10.00% |
| Qatar | -8.60% | 2026 | -10.00% | -10.00% | -10.00% | -10.00% |
| Romania | 0.70% | 2026 | 0.34% | -0.58% | -1.51% | -3.81% |
| Russia | 1.10% | 2026 | -0.00% | -2.37% | -4.73% | -10.00% |
| Rwanda | 7.20% | 2026 | 6.51% | 5.01% | 3.50% | -0.27% |
| Samoa | 3.20% | 2026 | 3.17% | 3.00% | 2.83% | 2.42% |
| San Marino | 1.30% | 2026 | 0.68% | -0.91% | -2.49% | -6.46% |
| Sao Tome and Principe | 3.40% | 2026 | 4.16% | 5.89% | 7.62% | 11.94% |
| Saudi Arabia | 3.10% | 2026 | 3.12% | 2.98% | 2.84% | 2.47% |
| Senegal | 2.20% | 2026 | 1.09% | -1.48% | -4.04% | -10.00% |
| Serbia | 2.80% | 2026 | 2.20% | 0.89% | -0.42% | -3.71% |
| Seychelles | 1.50% | 2026 | 0.86% | -0.72% | -2.31% | -6.27% |
| Sierra Leone | 4.50% | 2026 | 4.47% | 4.36% | 4.25% | 3.96% |
| Singapore | 3.50% | 2026 | 3.01% | 1.90% | 0.78% | -2.01% |
| Sint Maarten (Dutch part) | 3.00% | 2024 | -0.11% | -6.41% | -10.00% | -10.00% |
| Slovakia | 0.60% | 2026 | -0.01% | -1.37% | -2.74% | -6.15% |
| Slovenia | 2.00% | 2026 | 1.74% | 1.09% | 0.44% | -1.17% |
| Solomon Islands | 2.80% | 2026 | 3.00% | 3.55% | 4.11% | 5.49% |
| Somalia, Fed. Rep. | 2.60% | 2026 | 2.14% | 1.12% | 0.11% | -2.42% |
| South Africa | 1.00% | 2026 | 0.94% | 0.74% | 0.54% | 0.05% |
| South Korea | 1.90% | 2026 | 1.69% | 1.23% | 0.77% | -0.39% |
| South Sudan | 4.10% | 2026 | 12.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% |
| Spain | 2.10% | 2026 | 1.43% | -0.12% | -1.67% | -5.54% |
| Sri Lanka | 5.01% | 2024 | 8.74% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% |
| St. Kitts and Nevis | 2.00% | 2026 | 2.34% | 2.92% | 3.50% | 4.95% |
| St. Lucia | 2.00% | 2026 | 0.59% | -2.81% | -6.21% | -10.00% |
| St. Martin (French part) | 4.90% | 2021 | 4.02% | 3.03% | 2.05% | -0.40% |
| St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 3.00% | 2026 | 2.74% | 2.18% | 1.61% | 0.19% |
| Sudan | 0.70% | 2026 | 5.25% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% |
| Suriname | 3.90% | 2026 | 4.75% | 6.72% | 8.68% | 12.00% |
| Sweden | 2.00% | 2026 | 2.20% | 2.62% | 3.04% | 4.08% |
| Switzerland | 1.30% | 2026 | 1.07% | 0.51% | -0.06% | -1.47% |
| Syria | 0.73% | 2022 | 1.24% | 2.28% | 3.31% | 5.89% |
| Taiwan | 5.20% | 2026 | 5.31% | 5.57% | 5.83% | 6.47% |
| Tajikistan | 6.00% | 2026 | 5.20% | 3.38% | 1.55% | -3.03% |
| Tanzania | 5.90% | 2026 | 6.11% | 6.61% | 7.11% | 8.36% |
| Thailand | 1.50% | 2026 | 1.21% | 0.56% | -0.10% | -1.73% |
| Timor-Leste | 4.10% | 2026 | 8.48% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% |
| Togo | 5.00% | 2026 | 4.56% | 3.57% | 2.59% | 0.14% |
| Tonga | 2.30% | 2026 | 2.74% | 3.76% | 4.78% | 7.33% |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 0.80% | 2026 | 0.37% | -0.51% | -1.38% | -3.57% |
| Tunisia | 2.10% | 2026 | 2.13% | 2.16% | 2.19% | 2.26% |
| Turkmenistan | 2.60% | 2026 | 1.32% | -1.53% | -4.39% | -10.00% |
| Turks and Caicos Islands | 5.64% | 2024 | 4.44% | 2.03% | -0.38% | -6.40% |
| Tuvalu | 2.50% | 2026 | 2.38% | 2.17% | 1.96% | 1.42% |
| Türkiye | 3.40% | 2026 | 3.00% | 1.98% | 0.95% | -1.61% |
| Uganda | 7.50% | 2026 | 8.13% | 9.61% | 11.09% | 12.00% |
| Ukraine | 2.00% | 2026 | 2.37% | 3.58% | 4.79% | 7.81% |
| United Arab Emirates | 3.10% | 2026 | 2.79% | 1.96% | 1.13% | -0.94% |
| United Kingdom | 0.80% | 2026 | 0.28% | -1.00% | -2.27% | -5.46% |
| United States | 2.30% | 2026 | 1.97% | 1.23% | 0.49% | -1.37% |
| Uruguay | 1.80% | 2026 | 1.18% | -0.19% | -1.57% | -5.00% |
| Uzbekistan | 6.50% | 2026 | 6.49% | 6.44% | 6.39% | 6.26% |
| Vanuatu | 3.50% | 2026 | 4.41% | 6.39% | 8.36% | 12.00% |
| Venezuela | 4.00% | 2026 | 3.56% | 2.69% | 1.82% | -0.36% |
| Vietnam | 7.10% | 2026 | 7.31% | 7.82% | 8.33% | 9.60% |
| Virgin Islands (U.S.) | -1.31% | 2022 | -1.12% | -0.97% | -0.83% | -0.47% |
| West Bank and Gaza | -26.56% | 2024 | -10.00% | -10.00% | -10.00% | -10.00% |
| Yemen, Rep. | 0.50% | 2026 | 0.83% | 1.64% | 2.45% | 4.48% |
| Zambia | 4.30% | 2026 | 4.31% | 4.27% | 4.23% | 4.14% |
| Zimbabwe | 5.00% | 2026 | 5.87% | 7.52% | 9.17% | 12.00% |
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Real GDP growth uses a weighted composite model with a 6-year lookback, 62% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
