Forecast
Forward projections from the prediction engine — baseline plus an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, per macro indicator. These are PROJECTIONS, not observations: generated from observed history, never a guarantee. A country we hold no projections for is shown honestly.
Forecast
Need it as JSON? GET /api/v1/forecast/country/{iso3}.
Channel Islands: forward projections across 5 macro indicators, horizons 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2033, 2034, 2035. These are projections, not observations — each carries an optimistic/pessimistic band and a confidence interval, anchored against the latest observed value where one is held.
Latest observed
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13.1bn | 14.7bn | 11.8bn | 12.7bn – 13.5bn |
| 2026 | 14.6bn | 17.3bn | 12.2bn | 13.5bn – 15.7bn |
| 2028 | 16.1bn | 19.6bn | 13bn | 14.2bn – 17.9bn |
| 2033 | 19.7bn | 24.7bn | 15.4bn | 15.6bn – 23.8bn |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed3.72(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2.16 | 12 | -10 | -1.32 – 5.65 |
| 2026 | -0.76 | 12 | -10 | -6.79 – 5.27 |
| 2028 | -3.68 | 12 | -10 | -10 – 4.34 |
| 2033 | -10 | 12 | -10 | -10 – 2.52 |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed74.6k(2023)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 78k | 87.4k | 69.8k | 75.6k – 80.4k |
| 2026 | 86.3k | 102.6k | 72.1k | 79.9k – 92.7k |
| 2028 | 94.6k | 115.7k | 76.3k | 83.9k – 105.4k |
| 2033 | 115.4k | 145.2k | 89.6k | 91.5k – 139.3k |
Method: weighted_composite; lookback 8y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed168.1k(2024)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 168k | 175.9k | 160.6k | 162.8k – 173.2k |
| 2027 | 168.5k | 176.4k | 161.1k | 156k – 180.9k |
| 2029 | 168.9k | 176.9k | 161.5k | 149.8k – 188.1k |
| 2034 | 170.1k | 178.2k | 162.7k | 134.8k – 205.4k |
Method: exponential_smoothing; lookback 10y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Latest observed6.17(2025)· World Bank Indicators API
| Year | Baseline | Optimistic | Pessimistic | Conf. band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.05 | 6.67 | 5.43 | 5.86 – 6.24 |
| 2028 | 5.81 | 6.89 | 4.73 | 5.37 – 6.26 |
| 2030 | 5.58 | 6.97 | 4.18 | 4.92 – 6.24 |
| 2035 | 4.98 | 6.95 | 3.01 | 3.88 – 6.08 |
Method: linear_trend; lookback 6y; horizon 1y; confidence 80%
Generated by the prediction engine (model prediction-engine-v1) on 2026-06-22 from observed history. Projections, not observations — never a guarantee of future values.
Machine-readable: GET /api/v1/forecast/country/CHI · Country page → · Full brief → · API docs
