Informed by theUK Energy sector signals →
Back to trackers
energy
Energy & Geopolitical Shock Tracker
Frames macro sensitivity to wholesale energy prices, supply disruption, geopolitical events, risk premia, and pass-through to inflation and activity.
CitySignals guardrails
Research and scenario analysis only. Not financial, investment, mortgage, tax or legal advice.
Open questions
Current forecast questions and aggregate snapshots.
Aggregate probabilities are research signals. Low-sample states are flagged when participant counts are limited.
No open questions are configured for this tracker yet. Add questions in CitySignals configuration or seed records to populate this section.
Resolved archive
Recent resolved questions and scoring summaries.
Resolved records show outcome, aggregate before close, Brier score summary, and baseline comparison once stored locally.
No resolved local records are available yet. This archive will populate after configured questions close and are resolved against their official source rules.
Methodology
Review question design, probability scoring, and resolution rules.