Scored trackers
UK forecast trackers with resolution rules and aggregate snapshots.
Trackers are loaded from local database records where available, with configuration as the fallback source. Public cards show open questions, latest aggregate research signals, and source context.
CitySignals guardrails
Research and scenario analysis only. Not financial, investment, mortgage, tax or legal advice.
rates
Bank Rate Probability Tracker
Probability-framed expectations for Bank of England policy-rate paths.
Latest aggregate
3.357 to 4.357
0 participants · updated 8 Jun 2026
Resolution: Bank of England
inflation
UK Inflation Surprise Tracker
CPI and inflation-persistence questions resolved against official UK inflation releases.
Latest aggregate
53%
0 participants · updated 8 Jun 2026
Resolution: UK Office for National Statistics
mortgage
Mortgage Direction Index
Mortgage-pressure and refinancing-direction scenarios for UK households and housing conditions.
Latest aggregate
50%
0 participants · updated 8 Jun 2026
Resolution: UK House Price Index and configured mortgage-rate datasets
fiscal
Budget & Tax Risk Tracker
Fiscal-policy and household-tax pressure scenarios tied to UK policy events.
Latest aggregate
Awaiting snapshot
Appears after forecasts are aggregated.
Resolution: HM Treasury and Office for Budget Responsibility
fiscal
Gilt & Fiscal Stress Monitor
UK gilt-market and fiscal-stress probabilities with documented threshold rules.
Latest aggregate
38%
0 participants · updated 8 Jun 2026
Resolution: UK Debt Management Office
energy
Energy & Geopolitical Shock Tracker
Energy-price and geopolitical-shock probability framing for UK macro sensitivity.
Latest aggregate
Awaiting snapshot
Appears after forecasts are aggregated.
Resolution: Configured official energy and public risk datasets
ai cycle
AI Cycle & Valuation Heat Map
AI-cycle volatility and valuation-heat scenarios for macro-sensitive assets.
Latest aggregate
45%
0 participants · updated 8 Jun 2026
Resolution: Configured macro-asset and public market datasets
macro cycle
Macro Cycle Dashboard
UK macro-cycle phase, pressure drivers, and confidence labels.
Latest aggregate
Awaiting snapshot
Appears after forecasts are aggregated.
Resolution: CitySignals macro-cycle configuration