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Indicators/Monetary policy rate

markets · indicator

Monetary policy rate

policy_rate

Central bank policy or reference interest rate.

Open in Explore
Unit
percent
Display
percent
Cadence
monthly
Source
ECB Data Portal / FRED
Latest global
Pending
Next global forecast
Pending

How it’s forecast

Policy rate uses a scenario manual model with a 5-year lookback, 75% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.

Why it matters

Interpretation depends on context and the wider macro profile.

Trajectory

Global history & forecast

No global history or forecast exists for this indicator yet.

Before consensus

Who’s diverging

Countries whose latest reading deviates most from their own recent trend.

  • Not enough history to rank divergence yet.

Rankings

Highest current readings

No country values available yet.

By country

Scenario paths — top economies

Observed history with a baseline / optimistic / pessimistic forecast for the largest current readings.

Forecast

Latest values & forecast horizons

Per-country latest reading and baseline forecast across horizons.

CountryLatestYear1y3y5y10y

Continue

Where this signal feeds in

Jump from this cross-country indicator into a specific country, the sector composites it powers, and the trackers it informs.

View in a country

United KingdomUnited StatesGermanyJapanIndia

Sector composites & trackers using this

UK Credit & rates health →UK expectations index ↗Bank Rate probability ↗Mortgage direction ↗

Sources

Methodology & source

Policy rate uses a scenario manual model with a 5-year lookback, 75% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.

ECB Data Portal / FREDMethodology
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