population · indicator
Total resident population estimate.
Global · 2026
Baseline · 2027
How it’s forecast
Population uses a exponential smoothing model with a 10-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
Why it matters
Interpretation depends on context and the wider macro profile.
Trajectory
Before consensus
Countries whose latest reading deviates most from their own recent trend.
Rankings
By country
Observed history with a baseline / optimistic / pessimistic forecast for the largest current readings.
Forecast
Per-country latest reading and baseline forecast across horizons.
| Country | Latest | Year | 1y | 3y | 5y | 10y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan | 0.04B | 2025 | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.05B | 0.05B |
| Albania | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Algeria | 0.05B | 2026 | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.05B |
| American Samoa | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Andorra | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Angola | 0.04B | 2026 | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.05B |
| Antigua and Barbuda | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Argentina | 0.05B | 2026 | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.05B |
| Armenia | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Aruba | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Australia | 0.03B | 2026 | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B |
| Austria | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Azerbaijan | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Bahamas, The | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Bahrain | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Bangladesh | 0.18B | 2026 | 0.18B | 0.18B | 0.18B | 0.18B |
| Barbados | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Belarus | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Belgium | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Belize | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Benin | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| Bermuda | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Bhutan | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Bolivia | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Botswana | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Brazil | 0.21B | 2026 | 0.21B | 0.21B | 0.22B | 0.22B |
| British Virgin Islands | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Brunei | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Bulgaria | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Burkina Faso | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B |
| Burundi | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| Cabo Verde | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Cambodia | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| Cameroon | 0.03B | 2026 | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B |
| Canada | 0.04B | 2026 | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B |
| Cayman Islands | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Central African Republic | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Chad | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| Channel Islands | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Chile | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| China | 1.40B | 2026 | 1.40B | 1.40B | 1.40B | 1.39B |
| Colombia | 0.05B | 2026 | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.06B |
| Comoros | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Congo | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Costa Rica | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Croatia | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Cuba | 0.01B | 2024 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Curacao | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Cyprus | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Czechia | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 0.03B | 2026 | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.04B | 0.04B |
| DR Congo | 0.11B | 2026 | 0.11B | 0.11B | 0.12B | 0.13B |
| Denmark | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Djibouti | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Dominica | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Dominican Republic | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Ecuador | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| Egypt | 0.11B | 2026 | 0.11B | 0.11B | 0.12B | 0.12B |
| El Salvador | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Equatorial Guinea | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Eritrea | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Estonia | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Eswatini | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Ethiopia | 0.11B | 2026 | 0.12B | 0.12B | 0.12B | 0.13B |
| Faroe Islands | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Fiji | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Finland | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| France | 0.07B | 2026 | 0.07B | 0.07B | 0.07B | 0.07B |
| French Polynesia | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Gabon | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Gambia, The | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Georgia | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Germany | 0.08B | 2026 | 0.08B | 0.08B | 0.08B | 0.08B |
| Ghana | 0.04B | 2026 | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B |
| Gibraltar | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Greece | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Greenland | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Grenada | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Guam | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Guatemala | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| Guinea | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| Guinea-Bissau | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Guyana | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Haiti | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Honduras | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Hong Kong | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Hungary | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Iceland | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| India | 1.48B | 2026 | 1.47B | 1.49B | 1.50B | 1.54B |
| Indonesia | 0.29B | 2026 | 0.29B | 0.29B | 0.29B | 0.30B |
| Iran | 0.09B | 2026 | 0.09B | 0.09B | 0.09B | 0.09B |
| Iraq | 0.05B | 2026 | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.05B |
| Ireland | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Isle of Man | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Israel | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Italy | 0.06B | 2026 | 0.06B | 0.06B | 0.06B | 0.06B |
| Jamaica | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Japan | 0.12B | 2026 | 0.12B | 0.12B | 0.12B | 0.12B |
| Jordan | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Kazakhstan | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| Kenya | 0.05B | 2026 | 0.05B | 0.06B | 0.06B | 0.06B |
| Kiribati | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Kosovo | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Kuwait | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Kyrgyz Republic | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Laos | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Latvia | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Lebanon | 0.01B | 2025 | 0.01B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Lesotho | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Liberia | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Libya | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Liechtenstein | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Lithuania | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Luxembourg | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Macao | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Madagascar | 0.03B | 2026 | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.04B |
| Malawi | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B |
| Malaysia | 0.03B | 2026 | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.04B | 0.04B |
| Maldives | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Mali | 0.03B | 2026 | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B |
| Malta | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Marshall Islands | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Mauritania | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Mauritius | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Mexico | 0.13B | 2026 | 0.13B | 0.13B | 0.14B | 0.14B |
| Micronesia, Fed. Sts. | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Moldova | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Monaco | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Mongolia | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Montenegro | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Morocco | 0.04B | 2026 | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B |
| Mozambique | 0.04B | 2026 | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B |
| Myanmar | 0.06B | 2026 | 0.06B | 0.06B | 0.06B | 0.06B |
| Namibia | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Nauru | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Nepal | 0.03B | 2026 | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B |
| Netherlands | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| New Caledonia | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| New Zealand | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Nicaragua | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Niger | 0.03B | 2026 | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.04B |
| Nigeria | 0.24B | 2026 | 0.24B | 0.25B | 0.25B | 0.27B |
| North Korea | 0.03B | 2024 | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B |
| North Macedonia | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Northern Mariana Islands | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Norway | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Oman | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Pakistan | 0.25B | 2026 | 0.25B | 0.25B | 0.26B | 0.27B |
| Palau | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Panama | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Papua New Guinea | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Paraguay | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Peru | 0.03B | 2026 | 0.03B | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B |
| Philippines | 0.12B | 2026 | 0.12B | 0.12B | 0.12B | 0.12B |
| Poland | 0.04B | 2026 | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.03B |
| Portugal | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Puerto Rico (US) | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Qatar | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Romania | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| Russia | 0.14B | 2026 | 0.14B | 0.14B | 0.14B | 0.14B |
| Rwanda | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| Samoa | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| San Marino | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Sao Tome and Principe | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Saudi Arabia | 0.04B | 2026 | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B |
| Senegal | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| Serbia | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Seychelles | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Sierra Leone | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Singapore | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Sint Maarten (Dutch part) | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Slovakia | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Slovenia | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Solomon Islands | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Somalia, Fed. Rep. | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| South Africa | 0.06B | 2026 | 0.06B | 0.07B | 0.07B | 0.07B |
| South Korea | 0.05B | 2026 | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.05B |
| South Sudan | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Spain | 0.05B | 2026 | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.05B |
| Sri Lanka | 0.02B | 2024 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| St. Kitts and Nevis | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| St. Lucia | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| St. Martin (French part) | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Sudan | 0.05B | 2026 | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.06B |
| Suriname | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Sweden | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Switzerland | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Syria | 0.02B | 2024 | 0.02B | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B |
| Taiwan | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
| Tajikistan | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Tanzania | 0.07B | 2026 | 0.07B | 0.07B | 0.07B | 0.08B |
| Thailand | 0.07B | 2026 | 0.07B | 0.07B | 0.07B | 0.07B |
| Timor-Leste | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Togo | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Tonga | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Tunisia | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Turkmenistan | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Turks and Caicos Islands | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Tuvalu | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Türkiye | 0.09B | 2026 | 0.09B | 0.09B | 0.09B | 0.09B |
| Uganda | 0.05B | 2026 | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.05B | 0.06B |
| Ukraine | 0.03B | 2026 | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B |
| United Arab Emirates | 0.01B | 2026 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| United Kingdom | 0.07B | 2026 | 0.07B | 0.07B | 0.07B | 0.07B |
| United States | 0.34B | 2026 | 0.34B | 0.34B | 0.34B | 0.35B |
| Uruguay | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Uzbekistan | 0.04B | 2026 | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B | 0.04B |
| Vanuatu | 0.00B | 2026 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| Venezuela | 0.03B | 2026 | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B | 0.03B |
| Vietnam | 0.10B | 2026 | 0.10B | 0.10B | 0.10B | 0.11B |
| Virgin Islands (U.S.) | 0.00B | 2024 | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B | 0.00B |
| West Bank and Gaza | 0.01B | 2024 | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B | 0.01B |
| Yemen, Rep. | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.03B |
| Zambia | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.03B |
| Zimbabwe | 0.02B | 2026 | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B | 0.02B |
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Population uses a exponential smoothing model with a 10-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
