output · indicator
Estimated labour productivity growth.
Global · 2025
Baseline · 2026
How it’s forecast
Productivity uses a weighted composite model with a 7-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
Why it matters
Higher readings are generally healthier for this metric.
Trajectory
Before consensus
Countries whose latest reading deviates most from their own recent trend.
Rankings
By country
Observed history with a baseline / optimistic / pessimistic forecast for the largest current readings.
Forecast
Per-country latest reading and baseline forecast across horizons.
Realized track record: across 5447 matured forecasts (through 2025), the typical miss is ±5.33 (1206% MAPE) · reliability leaderboard →. A track record, not a guarantee.
| Country | Latest | Year | 1y | 3y | 5y | 10y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan | -1.82% | 2024 | 0.93% | 6.50% | 12.07% | 15.00% |
| Albania | 4.57% | 2025 | 5.43% | 7.31% | 9.19% | 13.89% |
| Algeria | 2.78% | 2025 | 4.47% | 8.11% | 11.74% | 15.00% |
| Angola | -0.14% | 2025 | 0.43% | 1.91% | 3.40% | 7.10% |
| Argentina | 3.15% | 2025 | 3.74% | 5.52% | 7.29% | 11.72% |
| Armenia | 6.53% | 2025 | 5.15% | 2.67% | 0.19% | -6.01% |
| Australia | 0.04% | 2025 | -0.03% | -0.18% | -0.32% | -0.69% |
| Austria | 1.24% | 2025 | 1.10% | 0.94% | 0.78% | 0.37% |
| Azerbaijan | 1.00% | 2025 | 1.15% | 1.34% | 1.53% | 2.01% |
| Bahamas, The | 3.02% | 2024 | 1.63% | -0.88% | -3.39% | -9.66% |
| Bahrain | 2.58% | 2025 | 2.70% | 3.08% | 3.46% | 4.41% |
| Bangladesh | 2.09% | 2025 | 2.08% | 1.81% | 1.53% | 0.84% |
| Barbados | 2.97% | 2025 | 2.96% | 3.13% | 3.31% | 3.75% |
| Belarus | 2.07% | 2025 | 3.32% | 5.87% | 8.43% | 14.81% |
| Belgium | 0.64% | 2025 | 0.55% | 0.38% | 0.21% | -0.22% |
| Belize | -2.77% | 2025 | -4.26% | -7.98% | -10.00% | -10.00% |
| Benin | 4.81% | 2025 | 5.32% | 6.55% | 7.78% | 10.87% |
| Bhutan | 6.64% | 2025 | 6.41% | 6.64% | 6.87% | 7.44% |
| Bolivia | -4.05% | 2025 | -4.59% | -5.83% | -7.07% | -10.00% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 3.62% | 2025 | 4.43% | 6.22% | 8.00% | 12.47% |
| Botswana | -2.04% | 2025 | -3.11% | -5.43% | -7.75% | -10.00% |
| Brazil | 0.96% | 2025 | 1.63% | 3.02% | 4.41% | 7.88% |
| Brunei | 0.17% | 2025 | 0.82% | 2.18% | 3.54% | 6.94% |
| Bulgaria | 2.72% | 2025 | 3.18% | 4.05% | 4.93% | 7.11% |
| Burkina Faso | 2.01% | 2025 | 2.41% | 3.18% | 3.95% | 5.88% |
| Burundi | 0.77% | 2025 | 1.23% | 2.32% | 3.41% | 6.12% |
| Cabo Verde | 4.69% | 2025 | 5.09% | 6.27% | 7.46% | 10.41% |
| Cambodia | 3.67% | 2025 | 4.49% | 6.31% | 8.14% | 12.71% |
| Cameroon | 0.58% | 2025 | 0.66% | 0.81% | 0.96% | 1.33% |
| Canada | 1.58% | 2025 | 1.92% | 2.77% | 3.61% | 5.72% |
| Central African Republic | 0.45% | 2025 | 0.31% | 0.10% | -0.12% | -0.65% |
| Chad | 2.12% | 2025 | 2.57% | 3.88% | 5.19% | 8.45% |
| Chile | 1.73% | 2025 | 2.56% | 4.30% | 6.04% | 10.40% |
| China | 5.00% | 2025 | 5.02% | 5.02% | 5.03% | 5.03% |
| Colombia | -0.01% | 2025 | -0.58% | -1.89% | -3.19% | -6.44% |
| Comoros | 0.75% | 2025 | 1.35% | 2.85% | 4.34% | 8.08% |
| Congo | -0.16% | 2025 | 1.00% | 3.62% | 6.25% | 12.80% |
| Costa Rica | 3.42% | 2025 | 3.44% | 3.50% | 3.56% | 3.72% |
| Croatia | 3.30% | 2025 | 2.95% | 2.30% | 1.65% | 0.02% |
| Cyprus | 3.22% | 2025 | 3.15% | 3.06% | 2.97% | 2.75% |
| Czechia | 3.09% | 2025 | 3.61% | 4.95% | 6.28% | 9.62% |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 3.32% | 2025 | 3.65% | 4.46% | 5.27% | 7.30% |
| DR Congo | 2.45% | 2025 | 2.41% | 2.37% | 2.33% | 2.24% |
| Denmark | 2.57% | 2025 | 3.44% | 5.44% | 7.43% | 12.42% |
| Djibouti | 4.68% | 2025 | 5.38% | 6.99% | 8.60% | 12.62% |
| Dominican Republic | 0.24% | 2025 | 0.28% | 0.13% | -0.01% | -0.37% |
| Ecuador | 2.01% | 2025 | 1.45% | 0.60% | -0.26% | -2.39% |
| Egypt | 2.15% | 2025 | 1.78% | 1.19% | 0.60% | -0.88% |
| El Salvador | 2.61% | 2025 | 3.30% | 4.90% | 6.51% | 10.52% |
| Equatorial Guinea | -7.73% | 2025 | -7.57% | -7.61% | -7.64% | -7.72% |
| Estonia | 1.84% | 2025 | 3.16% | 6.00% | 8.85% | 15.00% |
| Eswatini | 1.87% | 2025 | 1.83% | 1.65% | 1.47% | 1.02% |
| Ethiopia | 6.49% | 2025 | 7.19% | 8.84% | 10.49% | 14.61% |
| Fiji | 2.43% | 2025 | 1.34% | -0.63% | -2.61% | -7.56% |
| Finland | 0.80% | 2025 | 1.40% | 2.72% | 4.04% | 7.34% |
| France | 0.99% | 2025 | 1.19% | 1.70% | 2.20% | 3.47% |
| Gabon | 0.53% | 2025 | 1.60% | 3.83% | 6.07% | 11.65% |
| Gambia, The | 2.81% | 2025 | 2.91% | 3.16% | 3.42% | 4.06% |
| Georgia | 4.38% | 2025 | 4.32% | 4.05% | 3.77% | 3.09% |
| Germany | 1.15% | 2025 | 1.26% | 1.62% | 1.97% | 2.85% |
| Ghana | 4.52% | 2025 | 4.73% | 5.29% | 5.86% | 7.28% |
| Greece | 0.63% | 2025 | 0.69% | 0.90% | 1.11% | 1.63% |
| Guatemala | 2.03% | 2025 | 1.21% | -0.37% | -1.96% | -5.91% |
| Guinea | 4.76% | 2025 | 5.43% | 7.04% | 8.65% | 12.67% |
| Guinea-Bissau | 2.71% | 2025 | 3.07% | 4.00% | 4.93% | 7.26% |
| Guyana | 18.70% | 2025 | 15.00% | 7.34% | -0.80% | -10.00% |
| Haiti | -3.93% | 2025 | -4.29% | -5.05% | -5.82% | -7.73% |
| Honduras | 1.61% | 2025 | 0.67% | -1.37% | -3.40% | -8.49% |
| Hong Kong | 4.29% | 2025 | 5.70% | 8.91% | 12.13% | 15.00% |
| Hungary | 1.12% | 2025 | 0.90% | 0.40% | -0.11% | -1.36% |
| Iceland | -0.21% | 2025 | -0.78% | -2.01% | -3.23% | -6.29% |
| India | 6.03% | 2025 | 6.91% | 9.17% | 11.43% | 15.00% |
| Indonesia | 3.68% | 2025 | 4.17% | 5.32% | 6.47% | 9.35% |
| Iran | -3.37% | 2025 | -4.26% | -6.71% | -9.16% | -10.00% |
| Iraq | -4.75% | 2025 | -5.61% | -7.57% | -9.54% | -10.00% |
| Ireland | 10.57% | 2025 | 12.11% | 15.00% | 15.00% | 15.00% |
| Israel | 1.26% | 2025 | 1.18% | 1.03% | 0.88% | 0.51% |
| Italy | 0.80% | 2025 | 0.75% | 0.69% | 0.63% | 0.48% |
| Jamaica | -0.39% | 2025 | -0.57% | -0.86% | -1.14% | -1.86% |
| Japan | 1.18% | 2025 | 1.29% | 1.66% | 2.04% | 2.98% |
| Jordan | 2.10% | 2025 | 3.05% | 5.28% | 7.51% | 13.10% |
| Kazakhstan | 9.15% | 2025 | 10.70% | 14.63% | 15.00% | 15.00% |
| Kenya | 1.71% | 2025 | 1.59% | 1.25% | 0.91% | 0.06% |
| Kuwait | 3.40% | 2025 | 4.75% | 8.10% | 11.44% | 15.00% |
| Kyrgyz Republic | 8.81% | 2025 | 9.74% | 12.21% | 14.67% | 15.00% |
| Laos | 2.50% | 2025 | 3.44% | 5.64% | 7.84% | 13.34% |
| Latvia | 3.05% | 2025 | 3.66% | 5.09% | 6.51% | 10.07% |
| Lebanon | -2.08% | 2023 | 0.15% | 4.70% | 9.25% | 15.00% |
| Lesotho | 0.73% | 2025 | 1.72% | 3.87% | 6.03% | 11.42% |
| Liberia | 2.10% | 2025 | 2.67% | 4.14% | 5.61% | 9.29% |
| Libya | 11.58% | 2025 | 15.00% | 15.00% | 15.00% | 15.00% |
| Lithuania | 2.83% | 2025 | 3.28% | 4.27% | 5.26% | 7.74% |
| Luxembourg | -0.50% | 2025 | 0.01% | 1.07% | 2.14% | 4.81% |
| Macao | 5.35% | 2025 | 8.30% | 14.33% | 15.00% | 15.00% |
| Madagascar | 0.00% | 2025 | 0.16% | 0.54% | 0.92% | 1.87% |
| Malawi | -1.08% | 2025 | -0.76% | -0.16% | 0.44% | 1.95% |
| Malaysia | 3.21% | 2025 | 3.22% | 3.46% | 3.71% | 4.34% |
| Maldives | 4.98% | 2025 | 5.74% | 7.61% | 9.49% | 14.19% |
| Mali | 2.03% | 2025 | 2.66% | 4.12% | 5.57% | 9.21% |
| Malta | 1.94% | 2025 | 2.93% | 5.02% | 7.10% | 12.31% |
| Mauritania | 0.98% | 2025 | 1.06% | 1.26% | 1.46% | 1.97% |
| Mauritius | 3.29% | 2025 | 4.28% | 6.49% | 8.70% | 14.23% |
| Mexico | -0.78% | 2025 | -0.74% | -0.65% | -0.56% | -0.33% |
| Moldova | 3.79% | 2025 | 4.52% | 6.21% | 7.90% | 12.11% |
| Mongolia | 5.72% | 2025 | 7.03% | 10.10% | 13.18% | 15.00% |
| Montenegro | 3.41% | 2025 | 5.52% | 9.95% | 14.39% | 15.00% |
| Morocco | 3.36% | 2025 | 3.90% | 5.22% | 6.54% | 9.84% |
| Mozambique | -3.81% | 2025 | -4.74% | -7.04% | -9.33% | -10.00% |
| Myanmar | -2.69% | 2025 | -3.66% | -5.86% | -8.06% | -10.00% |
| Namibia | -0.63% | 2025 | 0.06% | 1.56% | 3.05% | 6.78% |
| Nepal | 4.14% | 2025 | 4.57% | 5.70% | 6.82% | 9.64% |
| Netherlands | 1.65% | 2025 | 1.77% | 2.16% | 2.54% | 3.50% |
| New Zealand | 0.17% | 2025 | -0.12% | -0.73% | -1.33% | -2.83% |
| Nicaragua | 2.91% | 2025 | 3.66% | 5.42% | 7.19% | 11.59% |
| Niger | 2.68% | 2025 | 3.00% | 3.94% | 4.87% | 7.21% |
| Nigeria | 1.13% | 2025 | 1.91% | 3.84% | 5.78% | 10.62% |
| North Macedonia | 3.84% | 2025 | 4.65% | 6.63% | 8.60% | 13.54% |
| Norway | 1.09% | 2025 | 1.14% | 1.30% | 1.46% | 1.85% |
| Oman | -2.16% | 2025 | -2.86% | -4.54% | -6.23% | -10.00% |
| Pakistan | 1.26% | 2025 | 1.38% | 1.74% | 2.11% | 3.02% |
| Panama | 2.50% | 2025 | 2.77% | 3.30% | 3.84% | 5.18% |
| Papua New Guinea | 3.02% | 2025 | 3.34% | 4.38% | 5.42% | 8.03% |
| Paraguay | 4.11% | 2025 | 5.08% | 7.40% | 9.72% | 15.00% |
| Peru | 1.73% | 2025 | 2.55% | 4.28% | 6.01% | 10.32% |
| Philippines | 2.64% | 2025 | 3.84% | 6.44% | 9.04% | 15.00% |
| Poland | 4.29% | 2025 | 4.46% | 4.95% | 5.44% | 6.66% |
| Portugal | 0.85% | 2025 | 0.53% | -0.15% | -0.84% | -2.55% |
| Puerto Rico (US) | 0.42% | 2025 | 0.76% | 1.68% | 2.59% | 4.89% |
| Qatar | -0.91% | 2025 | -0.81% | -0.72% | -0.62% | -0.39% |
| Romania | 1.55% | 2025 | 0.98% | -0.29% | -1.57% | -4.76% |
| Russia | 1.67% | 2025 | 2.47% | 4.01% | 5.56% | 9.44% |
| Rwanda | 6.22% | 2025 | 7.00% | 8.92% | 10.84% | 15.00% |
| Samoa | 4.40% | 2025 | 4.14% | 3.56% | 2.98% | 1.54% |
| Sao Tome and Principe | -1.26% | 2025 | -0.91% | -0.26% | 0.39% | 2.02% |
| Saudi Arabia | -0.82% | 2025 | -1.49% | -2.72% | -3.96% | -7.04% |
| Senegal | 3.13% | 2025 | 4.23% | 6.82% | 9.42% | 15.00% |
| Serbia | 2.46% | 2025 | 2.47% | 2.54% | 2.61% | 2.78% |
| Sierra Leone | 2.23% | 2025 | 2.33% | 2.62% | 2.91% | 3.65% |
| Singapore | 3.14% | 2025 | 3.88% | 5.56% | 7.24% | 11.44% |
| Slovakia | 1.42% | 2025 | 1.93% | 2.96% | 3.99% | 6.57% |
| Slovenia | 0.75% | 2025 | 0.74% | 0.59% | 0.45% | 0.08% |
| Solomon Islands | 0.52% | 2025 | 1.61% | 4.15% | 6.69% | 13.04% |
| Somalia, Fed. Rep. | -0.31% | 2025 | 0.10% | 1.00% | 1.90% | 4.16% |
| South Africa | -0.12% | 2025 | 0.34% | 1.28% | 2.21% | 4.56% |
| South Korea | 0.80% | 2025 | 1.03% | 1.46% | 1.89% | 2.97% |
| Spain | 1.02% | 2025 | 1.04% | 1.25% | 1.45% | 1.96% |
| Sri Lanka | 5.20% | 2025 | 7.48% | 12.67% | 15.00% | 15.00% |
| St. Lucia | -2.01% | 2025 | -3.03% | -5.30% | -7.57% | -10.00% |
| St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 3.65% | 2025 | 4.25% | 5.67% | 7.09% | 10.64% |
| Sudan | -5.68% | 2022 | -6.21% | -7.60% | -8.98% | -10.00% |
| Suriname | 0.78% | 2025 | 1.15% | 2.28% | 3.41% | 6.24% |
| Sweden | 1.49% | 2025 | 2.08% | 3.34% | 4.59% | 7.73% |
| Switzerland | 1.35% | 2025 | 1.24% | 1.05% | 0.86% | 0.38% |
| Syria | -10.15% | 2022 | -10.00% | -10.00% | -10.00% | -10.00% |
| Tajikistan | 5.85% | 2025 | 6.24% | 7.10% | 7.95% | 10.10% |
| Tanzania | 2.58% | 2025 | 2.94% | 3.82% | 4.71% | 6.92% |
| Thailand | 2.80% | 2025 | 3.36% | 4.74% | 6.12% | 9.57% |
| Timor-Leste | 4.50% | 2025 | 6.82% | 12.02% | 15.00% | 15.00% |
| Togo | 3.46% | 2025 | 3.47% | 3.50% | 3.54% | 3.62% |
| Tonga | 3.31% | 2025 | 4.00% | 5.57% | 7.14% | 11.07% |
| Trinidad and Tobago | -0.37% | 2025 | 0.19% | 1.31% | 2.43% | 5.22% |
| Tunisia | 1.58% | 2025 | 2.29% | 3.84% | 5.40% | 9.29% |
| Turkmenistan | 4.73% | 2025 | 4.87% | 5.16% | 5.44% | 6.15% |
| Türkiye | 1.96% | 2025 | 2.06% | 2.15% | 2.25% | 2.49% |
| Uganda | 2.65% | 2025 | 3.48% | 5.50% | 7.52% | 12.57% |
| Ukraine | 5.44% | 2021 | 5.99% | 7.64% | 9.30% | 13.44% |
| United Arab Emirates | -1.17% | 2024 | -2.10% | -4.03% | -5.96% | -10.00% |
| United Kingdom | 1.53% | 2025 | 1.55% | 1.72% | 1.88% | 2.30% |
| United States | 1.96% | 2025 | 2.37% | 3.23% | 4.08% | 6.21% |
| Uruguay | 0.64% | 2025 | 0.63% | 0.63% | 0.63% | 0.63% |
| Uzbekistan | 6.56% | 2025 | 7.55% | 9.86% | 12.17% | 15.00% |
| Vanuatu | 0.70% | 2025 | 0.47% | 0.13% | -0.20% | -1.04% |
| Vietnam | 7.29% | 2025 | 7.61% | 8.45% | 9.29% | 11.38% |
| Virgin Islands (U.S.) | -4.17% | 2022 | -6.03% | -10.00% | -10.00% | -10.00% |
| West Bank and Gaza | -5.16% | 2022 | -5.54% | -6.87% | -8.20% | -10.00% |
| Zambia | 0.06% | 2025 | -0.07% | -0.18% | -0.29% | -0.56% |
| Zimbabwe | 4.89% | 2025 | 5.30% | 6.81% | 8.32% | 12.09% |
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Productivity uses a weighted composite model with a 7-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
