trade · indicator
Current account balance expressed as a share of GDP.
Global · 2025
Baseline · 2026
How it’s forecast
Current account uses a linear trend model with a 8-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
Why it matters
Interpretation depends on context and the wider macro profile.
Trajectory
Before consensus
Countries whose latest reading deviates most from their own recent trend.
Rankings
By country
Observed history with a baseline / optimistic / pessimistic forecast for the largest current readings.
Forecast
Per-country latest reading and baseline forecast across horizons.
Realized track record: across 216 forecasts published in advance and since matured (through 2026), the typical miss is ±2.87 (121% MAPE) · reliability leaderboard →. A track record, not a guarantee.
| Country | Latest | Year | 1y | 3y | 5y | 10y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan | -37.9% | 2025 | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| Albania | -0.7% | 2025 | 0.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 10.0% |
| Algeria | -8.9% | 2025 | -7.8% | -5.7% | -3.6% | 1.7% |
| Andorra | 20.0% | 2025 | 20.2% | 20.6% | 21.1% | 22.1% |
| Angola | 0.3% | 2025 | -0.1% | -1.0% | -1.9% | -4.2% |
| Antigua and Barbuda | -11.6% | 2025 | -11.3% | -10.8% | -10.3% | -8.9% |
| Argentina | -1.1% | 2025 | -0.8% | -0.3% | 0.3% | 1.6% |
| Armenia | -8.7% | 2025 | -8.7% | -8.8% | -8.8% | -8.9% |
| Aruba | 11.6% | 2025 | 14.1% | 19.2% | 24.2% | 30.0% |
| Australia | -2.6% | 2025 | -2.8% | -3.3% | -3.7% | -4.8% |
| Austria | 1.9% | 2025 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Azerbaijan | 4.6% | 2025 | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Bahamas, The | -8.3% | 2025 | -7.9% | -7.1% | -6.3% | -4.2% |
| Bahrain | 5.0% | 2025 | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 24.7% |
| Bangladesh | 0.0% | 2025 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% |
| Barbados | -5.9% | 2025 | -6.4% | -7.3% | -8.2% | -10.4% |
| Belarus | -1.9% | 2025 | -2.2% | -2.7% | -3.3% | -4.7% |
| Belgium | -1.9% | 2025 | -2.1% | -2.4% | -2.8% | -3.7% |
| Belize | -2.8% | 2025 | -1.9% | -0.2% | 1.5% | 5.8% |
| Benin | -5.7% | 2025 | -6.2% | -7.1% | -8.1% | -10.5% |
| Bhutan | -16.0% | 2025 | -16.9% | -18.7% | -20.5% | -25.0% |
| Bolivia | -1.9% | 2025 | -1.8% | -1.7% | -1.6% | -1.2% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | -3.1% | 2025 | -3.2% | -3.3% | -3.4% | -3.6% |
| Botswana | 3.1% | 2025 | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 11.0% |
| Brazil | -2.9% | 2025 | -2.9% | -2.8% | -2.7% | -2.6% |
| Brunei | 18.0% | 2025 | 19.8% | 23.4% | 27.0% | 30.0% |
| Bulgaria | -6.1% | 2025 | -6.9% | -8.6% | -10.2% | -14.3% |
| Burkina Faso | 5.8% | 2025 | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% |
| Burundi | -6.4% | 2025 | -5.9% | -4.8% | -3.7% | -1.1% |
| Cabo Verde | 3.4% | 2025 | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 18.1% |
| Cambodia | -3.7% | 2025 | -2.5% | -0.2% | 2.2% | 8.1% |
| Cameroon | -3.8% | 2025 | -3.8% | -3.7% | -3.7% | -3.5% |
| Canada | -0.9% | 2025 | -0.6% | -0.1% | 0.4% | 1.6% |
| Central African Republic | -2.6% | 2025 | -2.2% | -1.4% | -0.7% | 1.3% |
| Chad | -0.6% | 2025 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 7.1% |
| Chile | -1.2% | 2025 | -0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 3.3% |
| China | 3.7% | 2025 | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% |
| Colombia | -2.4% | 2025 | -2.0% | -1.3% | -0.6% | 1.2% |
| Comoros | -0.5% | 2025 | -0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% |
| Congo | -5.1% | 2025 | -8.3% | -14.6% | -21.0% | -30.0% |
| Costa Rica | -0.6% | 2025 | -0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.5% |
| Croatia | -3.5% | 2025 | -4.1% | -5.3% | -6.5% | -9.6% |
| Cyprus | -6.4% | 2025 | -6.8% | -7.6% | -8.3% | -10.3% |
| Czechia | 0.7% | 2025 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Côte d'Ivoire | -0.6% | 2025 | -0.7% | -0.8% | -1.0% | -1.4% |
| DR Congo | -3.7% | 2025 | -3.9% | -4.3% | -4.6% | -5.6% |
| Denmark | 12.3% | 2025 | 13.1% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 20.8% |
| Djibouti | 14.5% | 2025 | 14.8% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 17.7% |
| Dominica | -38.7% | 2025 | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| Dominican Republic | -1.2% | 2025 | -1.4% | -1.7% | -2.1% | -3.0% |
| Ecuador | 5.9% | 2025 | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.7% |
| Egypt | -4.2% | 2025 | -4.4% | -4.8% | -5.2% | -6.3% |
| El Salvador | -3.5% | 2025 | -3.8% | -4.4% | -4.9% | -6.4% |
| Equatorial Guinea | -2.4% | 2025 | -1.9% | -1.0% | -0.0% | 2.4% |
| Eritrea | 13.0% | 2019 | 14.0% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 22.8% |
| Estonia | 0.3% | 2025 | 0.1% | -0.3% | -0.7% | -1.7% |
| Eswatini | 2.4% | 2025 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | -0.1% |
| Ethiopia | -0.8% | 2025 | -0.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.9% |
| Fiji | -7.7% | 2025 | -7.4% | -6.9% | -6.3% | -4.9% |
| Finland | 1.0% | 2025 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% |
| France | -0.4% | 2025 | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.5% |
| Gabon | -6.0% | 2025 | -7.1% | -9.2% | -11.4% | -16.8% |
| Gambia, The | -4.1% | 2025 | -3.6% | -2.7% | -1.8% | 0.4% |
| Georgia | -2.6% | 2025 | -1.9% | -0.5% | 0.9% | 4.4% |
| Germany | 4.5% | 2025 | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | -0.6% |
| Ghana | 8.1% | 2025 | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 20.4% |
| Greece | -5.7% | 2025 | -6.2% | -7.2% | -8.3% | -10.8% |
| Grenada | -23.1% | 2025 | -24.7% | -28.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| Guatemala | 4.7% | 2025 | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% |
| Guinea | -14.7% | 2025 | -13.8% | -11.9% | -10.0% | -5.2% |
| Guinea-Bissau | -6.2% | 2025 | -6.7% | -7.6% | -8.5% | -10.9% |
| Guyana | 21.4% | 2025 | 30.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Haiti | 1.4% | 2025 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% |
| Honduras | 2.4% | 2025 | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% |
| Hong Kong | 12.3% | 2025 | 13.5% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 24.1% |
| Hungary | 1.7% | 2025 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% |
| Iceland | -4.0% | 2025 | -5.5% | -8.4% | -11.3% | -18.5% |
| India | -0.7% | 2025 | -0.6% | -0.5% | -0.3% | 0.1% |
| Indonesia | -0.1% | 2025 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% |
| Iran | 3.3% | 2025 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% |
| Iraq | -3.8% | 2025 | -4.7% | -6.6% | -8.5% | -13.3% |
| Ireland | 8.0% | 2025 | 11.1% | 17.2% | 23.3% | 30.0% |
| Israel | 2.1% | 2025 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Italy | 1.1% | 2025 | 0.7% | -0.1% | -1.0% | -3.1% |
| Jamaica | 1.5% | 2025 | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% |
| Japan | 4.9% | 2025 | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% |
| Jordan | -5.6% | 2025 | -5.6% | -5.7% | -5.8% | -6.1% |
| Kazakhstan | -4.1% | 2025 | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.0% |
| Kenya | -2.8% | 2025 | -2.7% | -2.6% | -2.4% | -2.0% |
| Kiribati | -15.2% | 2025 | -23.9% | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| Kuwait | 22.7% | 2025 | 25.4% | 30.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Kyrgyz Republic | -24.9% | 2025 | -28.8% | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| Laos | 12.0% | 2025 | 14.5% | 19.4% | 24.4% | 30.0% |
| Latvia | -5.3% | 2025 | -6.2% | -8.1% | -9.9% | -14.6% |
| Lebanon | -22.5% | 2025 | -22.7% | -23.0% | -23.3% | -24.1% |
| Lesotho | -1.2% | 2025 | -0.1% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 10.1% |
| Liberia | -7.0% | 2025 | -5.1% | -1.3% | 2.5% | 12.0% |
| Libya | 1.1% | 2025 | 0.2% | -1.5% | -3.2% | -7.6% |
| Liechtenstein | 16.2% | 2025 | 15.5% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 9.3% |
| Lithuania | -1.0% | 2025 | -1.6% | -2.9% | -4.2% | -7.4% |
| Luxembourg | 4.8% | 2025 | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Macao | 39.6% | 2025 | 30.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Madagascar | -6.0% | 2025 | -6.7% | -8.1% | -9.5% | -12.9% |
| Malawi | -13.8% | 2025 | -14.0% | -14.4% | -14.8% | -15.9% |
| Malaysia | 1.6% | 2025 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | -1.3% |
| Maldives | -6.1% | 2025 | -3.4% | 2.0% | 7.4% | 20.9% |
| Mali | 0.1% | 2025 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% |
| Malta | 8.6% | 2025 | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | -6.6% |
| Marshall Islands | 33.8% | 2025 | 30.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Mauritania | -5.8% | 2025 | -5.3% | -4.2% | -3.2% | -0.6% |
| Mauritius | -7.0% | 2025 | -7.2% | -7.5% | -7.8% | -8.7% |
| Mexico | -0.5% | 2025 | -0.5% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.7% |
| Micronesia, Fed. Sts. | 3.7% | 2025 | 0.9% | -4.8% | -10.5% | -24.7% |
| Moldova | -19.7% | 2025 | -21.0% | -23.7% | -26.4% | -30.0% |
| Mongolia | -8.4% | 2025 | -7.2% | -4.8% | -2.5% | 3.5% |
| Montenegro | -20.6% | 2025 | -20.5% | -20.4% | -20.3% | -20.1% |
| Morocco | -2.4% | 2025 | -2.1% | -1.4% | -0.7% | 0.9% |
| Mozambique | -13.5% | 2025 | -11.4% | -7.3% | -3.2% | 7.1% |
| Myanmar | 1.8% | 2025 | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% |
| Namibia | -13.1% | 2025 | -15.3% | -19.7% | -24.1% | -30.0% |
| Naoero | 2.7% | 2025 | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | -1.4% |
| Nepal | 6.6% | 2025 | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 23.8% |
| Netherlands | 7.6% | 2025 | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% |
| New Zealand | -3.0% | 2025 | -3.2% | -3.7% | -4.1% | -5.3% |
| Nicaragua | 9.5% | 2025 | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 20.0% |
| Niger | -3.7% | 2025 | -2.6% | -0.5% | 1.6% | 7.0% |
| Nigeria | 4.8% | 2025 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 15.0% |
| North Macedonia | -4.4% | 2025 | -4.7% | -5.2% | -5.7% | -7.0% |
| Norway | 14.2% | 2025 | 16.1% | 19.8% | 23.5% | 30.0% |
| Oman | -1.1% | 2025 | 0.5% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 14.7% |
| Pakistan | 0.5% | 2025 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.3% |
| Palau | -11.6% | 2025 | -9.8% | -6.2% | -2.7% | 6.3% |
| Panama | -0.2% | 2025 | 0.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 8.6% |
| Papua New Guinea | 14.3% | 2025 | 14.3% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% |
| Paraguay | -2.5% | 2025 | -3.1% | -4.2% | -5.3% | -8.0% |
| Peru | 3.5% | 2025 | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% |
| Philippines | -3.3% | 2025 | -3.8% | -4.8% | -5.8% | -8.3% |
| Poland | -1.0% | 2025 | -0.9% | -0.8% | -0.6% | -0.3% |
| Portugal | 1.2% | 2025 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% |
| Qatar | 16.4% | 2025 | 18.7% | 23.3% | 28.0% | 30.0% |
| Romania | -7.9% | 2025 | -8.5% | -9.6% | -10.7% | -13.5% |
| Russia | 1.5% | 2025 | 1.0% | 0.1% | -0.9% | -3.3% |
| Rwanda | -9.8% | 2025 | -9.0% | -7.3% | -5.7% | -1.6% |
| Samoa | 5.7% | 2025 | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% |
| San Marino | 17.1% | 2025 | 20.4% | 27.1% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Sao Tome and Principe | -4.3% | 2025 | -2.6% | 0.8% | 4.1% | 12.6% |
| Saudi Arabia | -2.6% | 2025 | -3.4% | -5.1% | -6.8% | -11.1% |
| Senegal | -1.2% | 2025 | -1.2% | -1.1% | -1.0% | -0.8% |
| Serbia | -4.9% | 2025 | -4.8% | -4.5% | -4.3% | -3.6% |
| Seychelles | -7.7% | 2025 | -8.2% | -9.2% | -10.2% | -12.6% |
| Sierra Leone | -5.2% | 2025 | -4.8% | -4.1% | -3.4% | -1.6% |
| Singapore | 16.7% | 2025 | 16.8% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 18.0% |
| Slovakia | -3.6% | 2025 | -4.0% | -4.7% | -5.5% | -7.4% |
| Slovenia | 4.1% | 2025 | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Islands | 5.6% | 2025 | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% |
| Somalia, Fed. Rep. | -24.3% | 2025 | -27.4% | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| South Africa | -0.5% | 2025 | -0.3% | -0.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% |
| South Korea | 6.5% | 2025 | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% |
| South Sudan | -6.4% | 2025 | -2.0% | 6.7% | 15.5% | 30.0% |
| Spain | 3.2% | 2025 | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% |
| Sri Lanka | 1.6% | 2025 | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.7% |
| St. Kitts and Nevis | -14.4% | 2025 | -15.8% | -18.5% | -21.3% | -28.2% |
| St. Lucia | -5.2% | 2025 | -5.4% | -5.7% | -6.0% | -6.8% |
| St. Vincent and the Grenadines | -16.4% | 2025 | -17.8% | -20.7% | -23.6% | -30.0% |
| Sudan | -8.6% | 2025 | -7.0% | -3.8% | -0.5% | 7.6% |
| Suriname | -53.3% | 2025 | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| Sweden | 6.7% | 2025 | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% |
| Switzerland | 5.6% | 2025 | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% |
| Syria | -2.8% | 2010 | -2.4% | -1.5% | -0.6% | 1.5% |
| Taiwan | 20.0% | 2025 | 20.9% | 22.6% | 24.4% | 28.8% |
| Tajikistan | 17.2% | 2025 | 19.7% | 24.6% | 29.5% | 30.0% |
| Tanzania | -2.6% | 2025 | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.7% |
| Thailand | 3.0% | 2025 | 2.4% | 1.2% | -0.0% | -3.1% |
| Timor-Leste | -35.8% | 2025 | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| Togo | -2.8% | 2025 | -3.1% | -3.6% | -4.1% | -5.3% |
| Tonga | -4.3% | 2025 | -4.4% | -4.5% | -4.6% | -4.9% |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 5.0% | 2025 | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% |
| Tunisia | -3.3% | 2025 | -2.2% | 0.1% | 2.4% | 8.0% |
| Turkmenistan | 1.7% | 2025 | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Tuvalu | 21.1% | 2025 | 20.0% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 10.1% |
| Türkiye | -1.9% | 2025 | -2.1% | -2.5% | -2.9% | -4.0% |
| Uganda | -5.1% | 2025 | -5.0% | -4.8% | -4.7% | -4.2% |
| Ukraine | -16.0% | 2025 | -17.7% | -21.0% | -24.3% | -30.0% |
| United Arab Emirates | 13.3% | 2025 | 14.3% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 23.4% |
| United Kingdom | -3.0% | 2025 | -3.0% | -2.9% | -2.9% | -2.7% |
| United States | -3.8% | 2025 | -4.1% | -4.6% | -5.2% | -6.6% |
| Uruguay | -0.5% | 2025 | -0.7% | -1.2% | -1.6% | -2.7% |
| Uzbekistan | -3.9% | 2025 | -3.8% | -3.6% | -3.4% | -2.9% |
| Vanuatu | -6.0% | 2025 | -8.1% | -12.3% | -16.4% | -26.9% |
| Venezuela | 0.6% | 2025 | -0.1% | -1.4% | -2.8% | -6.2% |
| Vietnam | 6.7% | 2025 | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.4% |
| Yemen, Rep. | -6.8% | 2025 | -2.4% | 6.5% | 15.4% | 30.0% |
| Zambia | -5.5% | 2025 | -6.8% | -9.3% | -11.8% | -18.2% |
| Zimbabwe | 3.6% | 2025 | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% |
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Current account uses a linear trend model with a 8-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
