trade · indicator
Current account balance expressed as a share of GDP.
Global · 2025
Baseline · 2026
How it’s forecast
Current account uses a linear trend model with a 8-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
Why it matters
Interpretation depends on context and the wider macro profile.
Trajectory
Before consensus
Countries whose latest reading deviates most from their own recent trend.
Rankings
By country
Observed history with a baseline / optimistic / pessimistic forecast for the largest current readings.
Forecast
Per-country latest reading and baseline forecast across horizons.
Realized track record: across 213 forecasts published in advance and since matured (through 2026), the typical miss is ±2.26 (128% MAPE) · reliability leaderboard →. A track record, not a guarantee.
| Country | Latest | Year | 1y | 3y | 5y | 10y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan | -40.2% | 2025 | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| Albania | -2.0% | 2025 | -1.0% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 7.8% |
| Algeria | -7.7% | 2025 | -6.5% | -4.2% | -1.9% | 3.8% |
| Andorra | 15.9% | 2025 | 15.7% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.7% |
| Angola | 0.4% | 2025 | -0.0% | -0.9% | -1.8% | -4.0% |
| Antigua and Barbuda | -11.6% | 2025 | -11.3% | -10.8% | -10.3% | -8.9% |
| Argentina | -1.1% | 2025 | -0.8% | -0.3% | 0.3% | 1.7% |
| Armenia | -6.7% | 2025 | -6.4% | -5.9% | -5.3% | -3.9% |
| Aruba | 7.7% | 2025 | 9.9% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 29.2% |
| Australia | -2.6% | 2025 | -2.8% | -3.3% | -3.7% | -4.8% |
| Austria | 1.0% | 2025 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | -0.4% |
| Azerbaijan | 5.5% | 2025 | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Bahamas, The | -10.0% | 2025 | -9.7% | -9.1% | -8.5% | -7.1% |
| Bahrain | 5.9% | 2025 | 7.9% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 26.3% |
| Bangladesh | 0.0% | 2025 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% |
| Barbados | -7.5% | 2025 | -8.1% | -9.3% | -10.6% | -13.6% |
| Belarus | -2.6% | 2025 | -2.9% | -3.6% | -4.3% | -6.0% |
| Belgium | -2.1% | 2025 | -2.3% | -2.7% | -3.1% | -4.1% |
| Belize | -3.5% | 2025 | -2.7% | -1.2% | 0.4% | 4.2% |
| Benin | -5.7% | 2025 | -6.2% | -7.1% | -8.1% | -10.5% |
| Bhutan | -18.9% | 2025 | -20.0% | -22.3% | -24.6% | -30.0% |
| Bolivia | -1.9% | 2025 | -1.8% | -1.7% | -1.6% | -1.2% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | -3.2% | 2025 | -3.3% | -3.4% | -3.5% | -3.8% |
| Botswana | 3.7% | 2025 | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.2% |
| Brazil | -3.0% | 2025 | -3.0% | -2.9% | -2.9% | -2.8% |
| Brunei | 13.7% | 2025 | 15.1% | 18.0% | 20.9% | 28.1% |
| Bulgaria | -5.9% | 2025 | -6.8% | -8.5% | -10.2% | -14.4% |
| Burkina Faso | 6.7% | 2025 | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.4% |
| Burundi | -6.1% | 2025 | -5.5% | -4.4% | -3.3% | -0.5% |
| Cabo Verde | 3.6% | 2025 | 5.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 18.4% |
| Cambodia | -2.9% | 2025 | -1.7% | 0.8% | 3.3% | 9.5% |
| Cameroon | -3.8% | 2025 | -3.8% | -3.7% | -3.7% | -3.5% |
| Canada | -0.9% | 2025 | -0.6% | -0.1% | 0.4% | 1.6% |
| Central African Republic | -3.8% | 2025 | -3.8% | -3.8% | -3.8% | -3.8% |
| Chad | 0.2% | 2025 | 1.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 8.6% |
| Chile | -2.3% | 2025 | -2.0% | -1.3% | -0.6% | 1.1% |
| China | 3.7% | 2025 | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% |
| Colombia | -2.4% | 2025 | -2.0% | -1.3% | -0.6% | 1.2% |
| Comoros | -2.9% | 2025 | -2.8% | -2.6% | -2.5% | -2.0% |
| Congo | -5.9% | 2025 | -9.4% | -16.4% | -23.3% | -30.0% |
| Costa Rica | -0.7% | 2025 | -0.5% | -0.1% | 0.3% | 1.3% |
| Croatia | -3.2% | 2025 | -3.8% | -4.9% | -6.1% | -9.0% |
| Cyprus | -8.1% | 2025 | -8.6% | -9.7% | -10.7% | -13.4% |
| Czechia | 0.7% | 2025 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Côte d'Ivoire | -1.1% | 2025 | -1.2% | -1.5% | -1.7% | -2.3% |
| DR Congo | -3.7% | 2025 | -3.9% | -4.3% | -4.6% | -5.6% |
| Denmark | 12.5% | 2025 | 13.5% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 22.2% |
| Djibouti | 10.2% | 2025 | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% |
| Dominica | -38.0% | 2025 | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| Dominican Republic | -1.2% | 2025 | -1.4% | -1.8% | -2.2% | -3.1% |
| Ecuador | 5.8% | 2025 | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 15.4% |
| Egypt | -4.2% | 2025 | -4.4% | -4.8% | -5.2% | -6.3% |
| El Salvador | -3.9% | 2025 | -4.1% | -4.6% | -5.1% | -6.3% |
| Equatorial Guinea | -3.0% | 2025 | -2.5% | -1.6% | -0.7% | 1.6% |
| Eritrea | 13.0% | 2019 | 14.0% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 22.8% |
| Estonia | -0.2% | 2025 | -0.4% | -0.8% | -1.2% | -2.2% |
| Eswatini | -0.6% | 2025 | -1.1% | -2.2% | -3.2% | -5.9% |
| Ethiopia | -0.9% | 2025 | -0.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 4.9% |
| Fiji | -9.5% | 2025 | -9.3% | -8.8% | -8.3% | -7.2% |
| Finland | 1.3% | 2025 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% |
| France | -0.4% | 2025 | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| Gabon | -3.1% | 2025 | -3.9% | -5.6% | -7.3% | -11.4% |
| Gambia, The | -4.9% | 2025 | -4.5% | -3.8% | -3.0% | -1.2% |
| Georgia | -2.6% | 2025 | -1.9% | -0.5% | 0.9% | 4.4% |
| Germany | 4.4% | 2025 | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | -0.8% |
| Ghana | 7.9% | 2025 | 9.1% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 20.0% |
| Greece | -5.7% | 2025 | -6.2% | -7.2% | -8.3% | -10.8% |
| Grenada | -17.8% | 2025 | -19.0% | -21.5% | -23.9% | -30.0% |
| Guatemala | 4.8% | 2025 | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% |
| Guinea | -22.3% | 2025 | -22.5% | -22.8% | -23.1% | -23.9% |
| Guinea-Bissau | -6.2% | 2025 | -6.7% | -7.6% | -8.5% | -10.9% |
| Guyana | 12.9% | 2025 | 23.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Haiti | 1.9% | 2025 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% |
| Honduras | 2.4% | 2025 | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% |
| Hong Kong | 12.2% | 2025 | 13.4% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 23.9% |
| Hungary | 1.3% | 2025 | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% |
| Iceland | -3.6% | 2025 | -5.0% | -7.8% | -10.6% | -17.6% |
| India | -0.9% | 2025 | -0.8% | -0.7% | -0.6% | -0.3% |
| Indonesia | -0.1% | 2025 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% |
| Iran | 0.6% | 2025 | 0.4% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -1.6% |
| Iraq | -1.7% | 2025 | -2.4% | -3.9% | -5.3% | -8.9% |
| Ireland | 8.2% | 2025 | 11.2% | 17.2% | 23.1% | 30.0% |
| Israel | 1.5% | 2025 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Italy | 1.2% | 2025 | 0.8% | -0.0% | -0.8% | -2.9% |
| Jamaica | 1.2% | 2025 | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% |
| Japan | 4.8% | 2025 | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% |
| Jordan | -5.6% | 2025 | -5.6% | -5.7% | -5.8% | -6.1% |
| Kazakhstan | -3.9% | 2025 | -3.9% | -3.9% | -4.0% | -4.1% |
| Kenya | -2.7% | 2025 | -2.6% | -2.4% | -2.2% | -1.6% |
| Kiribati | -18.8% | 2025 | -27.8% | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| Kuwait | 23.3% | 2025 | 26.1% | 30.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Kyrgyz Republic | -23.4% | 2025 | -27.2% | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| Laos | 11.4% | 2025 | 13.9% | 18.8% | 23.8% | 30.0% |
| Latvia | -3.4% | 2025 | -4.0% | -5.2% | -6.3% | -9.3% |
| Lebanon | -22.5% | 2025 | -22.7% | -23.1% | -23.6% | -24.6% |
| Lesotho | -3.3% | 2025 | -2.4% | -0.5% | 1.3% | 6.0% |
| Liberia | -6.3% | 2025 | -4.3% | -0.4% | 3.5% | 13.2% |
| Libya | -3.8% | 2025 | -5.4% | -8.5% | -11.6% | -19.4% |
| Liechtenstein | 13.4% | 2025 | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Lithuania | 1.3% | 2025 | 1.0% | 0.5% | -0.0% | -1.4% |
| Luxembourg | 4.7% | 2025 | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | -0.0% |
| Macao | 35.7% | 2025 | 30.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Madagascar | -5.8% | 2025 | -6.5% | -7.8% | -9.2% | -12.6% |
| Malawi | -16.5% | 2025 | -17.3% | -18.9% | -20.6% | -24.7% |
| Malaysia | 1.6% | 2025 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | -1.3% |
| Maldives | -8.4% | 2025 | -5.9% | -1.0% | 3.9% | 16.2% |
| Mali | -0.8% | 2025 | -0.6% | -0.1% | 0.3% | 1.5% |
| Malta | 5.7% | 2025 | 3.9% | 0.4% | -3.1% | -11.9% |
| Marshall Islands | 9.1% | 2025 | 11.3% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 30.0% |
| Mauritania | -5.8% | 2025 | -5.3% | -4.2% | -3.1% | -0.5% |
| Mauritius | -6.4% | 2025 | -6.5% | -6.6% | -6.7% | -7.1% |
| Mexico | -0.4% | 2025 | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.6% |
| Micronesia, Fed. Sts. | 3.8% | 2025 | 1.0% | -4.6% | -10.2% | -24.3% |
| Moldova | -19.1% | 2025 | -20.4% | -23.0% | -25.6% | -30.0% |
| Mongolia | -8.6% | 2025 | -7.4% | -5.1% | -2.8% | 3.1% |
| Montenegro | -20.5% | 2025 | -20.4% | -20.3% | -20.2% | -19.9% |
| Morocco | -2.1% | 2025 | -1.7% | -1.0% | -0.3% | 1.5% |
| Mozambique | -14.2% | 2025 | -12.2% | -8.2% | -4.2% | 5.8% |
| Myanmar | 0.4% | 2025 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% |
| Namibia | -13.2% | 2025 | -15.4% | -19.9% | -24.4% | -30.0% |
| Naoero | 2.7% | 2025 | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | -1.4% |
| Nepal | 6.7% | 2025 | 8.4% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 24.1% |
| Netherlands | 8.8% | 2025 | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% |
| New Zealand | -3.7% | 2025 | -4.0% | -4.6% | -5.1% | -6.5% |
| Nicaragua | 8.6% | 2025 | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 17.8% |
| Niger | -5.0% | 2025 | -4.0% | -2.0% | -0.1% | 4.8% |
| Nigeria | 5.1% | 2025 | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 15.1% |
| North Macedonia | -4.4% | 2025 | -4.7% | -5.2% | -5.7% | -7.0% |
| Norway | 14.1% | 2025 | 15.9% | 19.6% | 23.3% | 30.0% |
| Oman | 1.3% | 2025 | 3.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 19.1% |
| Pakistan | 0.5% | 2025 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.3% |
| Palau | -19.0% | 2025 | -18.1% | -16.2% | -14.3% | -9.6% |
| Panama | 0.3% | 2025 | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 9.6% |
| Papua New Guinea | 14.7% | 2025 | 14.7% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 14.7% |
| Paraguay | -3.5% | 2025 | -4.2% | -5.5% | -6.8% | -10.0% |
| Peru | 3.1% | 2025 | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% |
| Philippines | -3.3% | 2025 | -3.8% | -4.8% | -5.8% | -8.3% |
| Poland | -0.7% | 2025 | -0.6% | -0.4% | -0.2% | 0.3% |
| Portugal | 1.2% | 2025 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% |
| Qatar | 14.5% | 2025 | 16.7% | 21.0% | 25.3% | 30.0% |
| Romania | -8.0% | 2025 | -8.6% | -9.7% | -10.8% | -13.7% |
| Russia | 1.6% | 2025 | 1.1% | 0.2% | -0.7% | -3.1% |
| Rwanda | -13.0% | 2025 | -13.2% | -13.7% | -14.2% | -15.3% |
| Samoa | 5.7% | 2025 | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% |
| San Marino | 17.1% | 2025 | 20.4% | 27.1% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Sao Tome and Principe | -6.3% | 2025 | -5.2% | -2.9% | -0.7% | 5.0% |
| Saudi Arabia | -3.0% | 2025 | -3.9% | -5.6% | -7.4% | -11.8% |
| Senegal | -5.6% | 2025 | -5.9% | -6.5% | -7.2% | -8.7% |
| Serbia | -4.9% | 2025 | -4.8% | -4.5% | -4.3% | -3.6% |
| Seychelles | -6.5% | 2025 | -6.9% | -7.7% | -8.5% | -10.4% |
| Sierra Leone | -5.1% | 2025 | -4.8% | -4.3% | -3.7% | -2.3% |
| Singapore | 16.7% | 2025 | 16.8% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 18.0% |
| Slovakia | -3.6% | 2025 | -4.0% | -4.7% | -5.5% | -7.4% |
| Slovenia | 3.5% | 2025 | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | -1.5% |
| Solomon Islands | -1.0% | 2025 | -1.0% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.8% |
| Somalia, Fed. Rep. | -9.5% | 2025 | -10.2% | -11.5% | -12.8% | -16.1% |
| South Africa | -0.5% | 2025 | -0.3% | -0.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% |
| South Korea | 6.6% | 2025 | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% |
| South Sudan | -4.0% | 2025 | 0.6% | 9.7% | 18.8% | 30.0% |
| Spain | 2.9% | 2025 | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% |
| Sri Lanka | 1.2% | 2024 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% |
| St. Kitts and Nevis | -14.6% | 2025 | -16.0% | -18.8% | -21.6% | -28.5% |
| St. Lucia | -4.6% | 2025 | -4.7% | -5.0% | -5.2% | -5.8% |
| St. Vincent and the Grenadines | -20.2% | 2025 | -22.0% | -25.5% | -29.0% | -30.0% |
| Sudan | -8.1% | 2025 | -6.5% | -3.3% | -0.1% | 7.9% |
| Suriname | -53.3% | 2025 | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| Sweden | 6.1% | 2025 | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% |
| Switzerland | 7.1% | 2025 | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% |
| Syria | -2.8% | 2010 | -2.4% | -1.5% | -0.6% | 1.5% |
| Taiwan | 17.4% | 2025 | 18.1% | 19.4% | 20.7% | 23.9% |
| Tajikistan | 16.6% | 2025 | 19.0% | 23.8% | 28.5% | 30.0% |
| Tanzania | -2.4% | 2025 | -2.4% | -2.3% | -2.3% | -2.2% |
| Thailand | 3.1% | 2025 | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | -2.9% |
| Timor-Leste | -34.0% | 2025 | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% | -30.0% |
| Togo | -1.0% | 2025 | -1.1% | -1.3% | -1.5% | -2.0% |
| Tonga | -5.3% | 2025 | -5.1% | -4.7% | -4.3% | -3.3% |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 3.1% | 2025 | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% |
| Tunisia | -2.8% | 2025 | -1.7% | 0.7% | 3.0% | 8.7% |
| Turkmenistan | 3.3% | 2025 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% |
| Tuvalu | 29.9% | 2025 | 29.9% | 29.8% | 29.7% | 29.5% |
| Türkiye | -1.9% | 2025 | -2.1% | -2.5% | -2.9% | -4.0% |
| Uganda | -6.2% | 2025 | -6.2% | -6.1% | -6.0% | -5.8% |
| Ukraine | -15.0% | 2025 | -16.5% | -19.5% | -22.5% | -29.9% |
| United Arab Emirates | 15.3% | 2025 | 16.5% | 18.9% | 21.3% | 27.4% |
| United Kingdom | -3.1% | 2025 | -3.1% | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.4% |
| United States | -3.6% | 2025 | -3.9% | -4.4% | -4.9% | -6.2% |
| Uruguay | -0.5% | 2025 | -0.7% | -1.2% | -1.6% | -2.7% |
| Uzbekistan | -3.9% | 2025 | -3.8% | -3.6% | -3.4% | -2.9% |
| Vanuatu | -10.4% | 2025 | -12.9% | -17.8% | -22.7% | -30.0% |
| Venezuela | 2.6% | 2025 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Vietnam | 6.7% | 2025 | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.4% |
| Yemen, Rep. | -6.7% | 2025 | -2.2% | 6.7% | 15.6% | 30.0% |
| Zambia | -3.5% | 2025 | -4.6% | -6.8% | -9.0% | -14.5% |
| Zimbabwe | 4.0% | 2025 | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% |
Continue
Jump from this cross-country indicator into a specific country, the sector composites it powers, and the trackers it informs.
View in a country
Sector composites & trackers using this
Sources
Current account uses a linear trend model with a 8-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
