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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Screener/Regime

Analysis · derived

Business-cycle regime screener

Which economies are most risk-off right now? This ranks the whole covered universe by business-cycle phase — contraction and slowdown (risk-off) first — derived from the latest real GDP-growth level and momentum of each economy. No country code needed; each reading traces to the same live observed series the rest of the platform serves. Backward-looking, not a forecast.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Screen

Markets by business-cycle phase

Showing 6 of 6 covered countries in the recovery phase.Showing every covered country, including micro-territories. Apply floor →

All phasesContractionSlowdownRecoveryExpansion
#CountryPhaseGrowth %Δ growthConfidenceAs of
1
Liechtenstein · LIE
RecoveryWatch
0.0
+0.3
High
2025
Brief →
2Cuba · CUBRecoveryWatch-1.1+0.9High2024Brief →
3Yemen, Rep. · YEMRecoveryWatch-0.5+1.0High2025Brief →
4Haiti · HTIRecoveryWatch-2.7+1.5High2025Brief →
5Botswana · BWARecoveryWatch-0.7+2.0High2025Brief →
6Isle of Man · IMNRecoveryWatch-2.0+2.1High2023Brief →

Ranked over the 6 countries we hold a live GDP-growth series for; uncovered economies never appear. Read the machine-readable ranking at GET /api/v1/screener/regime · or screen by macro stress on the macro-stress screener.