Analysis · derived
Which economies are most risk-off right now? This ranks the whole covered universe by business-cycle phase — contraction and slowdown (risk-off) first — derived from the latest real GDP-growth level and momentum of each economy. No country code needed; each reading traces to the same live observed series the rest of the platform serves. Backward-looking, not a forecast.
Screen
Showing 4 of 4 covered countries in the recovery phase.
| # | Country | Phase | Growth % | Δ growth | Confidence | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puerto Rico (US) |
| RecoveryWatch |
| -0.1 |
| +0.7 |
| High |
| 2026 |
| Brief → |
| 2 | Cuba · CUB | RecoveryWatch | -1.1 | +0.9 | High | 2024 | Brief → |
| 3 | Haiti · HTI | RecoveryWatch | -1.7 | +1.0 | High | 2026 | Brief → |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea · GNQ | RecoveryWatch | -2.7 | +3.7 | High | 2026 | Brief → |
Ranked over the 4 countries we hold a live GDP-growth series for; uncovered economies never appear. Read the machine-readable ranking at GET /api/v1/screener/regime · or screen by macro stress on the macro-stress screener.