Analysis · derived
Which economies are most risk-off right now? This ranks the whole covered universe by business-cycle phase — contraction and slowdown (risk-off) first — derived from the latest real GDP-growth level and momentum of each economy. No country code needed; each reading traces to the same live observed series the rest of the platform serves. Backward-looking, not a forecast.
Screen
Showing 4 of 4 covered countries in the recovery phase.Ranked across countries with ≥1 M people or ≥$10 bn GDP so micro-territories don't crowd the board. Show all →
| # | Country | Phase | Growth % | Δ growth | Confidence | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Cuba · CUB |
| RecoveryWatch |
| -1.1 |
| +0.9 |
| High |
| 2024 |
| Brief → |
| 2 | Yemen, Rep. · YEM | RecoveryWatch | -0.5 | +1.0 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 3 | Haiti · HTI | RecoveryWatch | -2.7 | +1.5 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 4 | Botswana · BWA | RecoveryWatch | -0.7 | +2.0 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
Ranked over the 4 countries we hold a live GDP-growth series for; uncovered economies never appear. Read the machine-readable ranking at GET /api/v1/screener/regime · or screen by macro stress on the macro-stress screener.