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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

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World/Screener/Regime

Analysis · derived

Business-cycle regime screener

Which economies are most risk-off right now? This ranks the whole covered universe by business-cycle phase — contraction and slowdown (risk-off) first — derived from the latest real GDP-growth level and momentum of each economy. No country code needed; each reading traces to the same live observed series the rest of the platform serves. Backward-looking, not a forecast.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Screen

Markets by business-cycle phase

Showing 4 of 4 covered countries in the recovery phase.

All phasesContractionSlowdownRecoveryExpansion
#CountryPhaseGrowth %Δ growthConfidenceAs of
1Puerto Rico (US)
· PRI
RecoveryWatch
-0.1
+0.7
High
2026
Brief →
2Cuba · CUBRecoveryWatch-1.1+0.9High2024Brief →
3Haiti · HTIRecoveryWatch-1.7+1.0High2026Brief →
4Equatorial Guinea · GNQRecoveryWatch-2.7+3.7High2026Brief →

Ranked over the 4 countries we hold a live GDP-growth series for; uncovered economies never appear. Read the machine-readable ranking at GET /api/v1/screener/regime · or screen by macro stress on the macro-stress screener.