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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

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World/Screener

Analysis · derived

Macro-stress screener

Which economies are under the most macro pressure right now? This ranks the whole covered universe by the derived macro-pressure composite (growth, inflation, unemployment, debt, external balance) — no country code needed. A higher score means more stress; each reading traces to the same live observed series the rest of the platform serves. Backward-looking, not a forecast.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Screen

Most macro-stressed economies

Showing the most macro-stressed 10 of 170 covered countries.Ranked across countries with ≥1 M people or ≥$10 bn GDP so micro-territories don't crowd the board. Show all →

Most stressedLeast stressed
#CountryMacro stressSentimentReadConfidenceAs of
1Yemen, Rep. · YEM78Stressed
−0.56
stressed
Moderate
2025-12-31
Brief →
2Ukraine · UKR75Elevated−0.50cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →
3Iran · IRN70Elevated−0.40cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →
4Haiti · HTI69Elevated−0.38cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →
5Sudan · SDN68Elevated−0.36cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →
6Bolivia · BOL66Elevated−0.32cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →
7Romania · ROU66Elevated−0.32cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →
8Syria · SYR66Elevated−0.32cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →
9Venezuela · VEN66Elevated−0.32cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →
10Iraq · IRQ64Elevated−0.28cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →

Ranked over the 170 countries we hold live macro-pressure inputs for; uncovered economies never appear. Read the machine-readable ranking at GET /api/v1/screener/sentiment · or screen by business-cycle phase · method on the scoring glossary.