trade · indicator
Exports of goods and services as a share of GDP.
Global · 2025
Baseline · 2026
How it’s forecast
Exports uses a linear trend model with a 8-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
Why it matters
Higher readings are generally healthier for this metric.
Trajectory
Before consensus
Countries whose latest reading deviates most from their own recent trend.
Rankings
By country
Observed history with a baseline / optimistic / pessimistic forecast for the largest current readings.
Forecast
Per-country latest reading and baseline forecast across horizons.
Realized track record: across 5269 matured forecasts (through 2025), the typical miss is ±8.89 (29% MAPE) · reliability leaderboard →. A track record, not a guarantee.
| Country | Latest | Year | 1y | 3y | 5y | 10y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan | 15.7% | 2024 | 16.9% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 28.2% |
| Albania | 37.0% | 2025 | 38.5% | 41.4% | 44.3% | 51.5% |
| Algeria | 16.8% | 2025 | 16.6% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.8% |
| American Samoa | 47.0% | 2022 | 44.3% | 39.1% | 33.8% | 20.6% |
| Angola | 23.0% | 2025 | 21.5% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 8.5% |
| Antigua and Barbuda | 55.0% | 2022 | 51.6% | 44.8% | 38.0% | 20.9% |
| Argentina | 15.6% | 2025 | 15.3% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 13.3% |
| Armenia | 48.1% | 2025 | 52.0% | 59.8% | 67.5% | 87.0% |
| Aruba | 86.0% | 2024 | 88.7% | 94.1% | 99.5% | 113.0% |
| Australia | 23.2% | 2025 | 23.5% | 24.1% | 24.7% | 26.2% |
| Austria | 54.7% | 2025 | 54.9% | 55.3% | 55.8% | 56.8% |
| Azerbaijan | 43.0% | 2025 | 42.5% | 41.6% | 40.6% | 38.3% |
| Bahamas, The | 37.8% | 2024 | 38.6% | 40.2% | 41.7% | 45.7% |
| Bahrain | 87.5% | 2024 | 90.5% | 96.4% | 102.3% | 117.2% |
| Bangladesh | 11.1% | 2025 | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% |
| Belarus | 55.1% | 2025 | 53.8% | 51.2% | 48.5% | 42.0% |
| Belgium | 75.5% | 2025 | 74.7% | 73.3% | 71.9% | 68.4% |
| Belize | 55.2% | 2024 | 56.0% | 57.6% | 59.1% | 63.0% |
| Benin | 17.1% | 2025 | 15.6% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 2.1% |
| Bermuda | 55.1% | 2024 | 55.8% | 57.0% | 58.2% | 61.2% |
| Bhutan | 31.5% | 2024 | 31.5% | 31.5% | 31.5% | 31.6% |
| Bolivia | 21.4% | 2024 | 22.1% | 23.3% | 24.6% | 27.8% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 41.0% | 2025 | 41.4% | 42.1% | 42.8% | 44.6% |
| Botswana | 32.0% | 2025 | 30.5% | 27.4% | 24.4% | 16.7% |
| Brazil | 17.8% | 2025 | 18.4% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 23.4% |
| Brunei | 71.6% | 2025 | 74.9% | 81.7% | 88.4% | 105.3% |
| Bulgaria | 50.7% | 2025 | 49.3% | 46.4% | 43.5% | 36.3% |
| Burkina Faso | 35.0% | 2025 | 35.4% | 36.2% | 37.1% | 39.1% |
| Cabo Verde | 42.0% | 2025 | 42.1% | 42.3% | 42.5% | 43.1% |
| Cambodia | 68.6% | 2025 | 70.9% | 75.5% | 80.1% | 91.6% |
| Cameroon | 13.1% | 2025 | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% |
| Canada | 31.3% | 2025 | 31.4% | 31.6% | 31.8% | 32.3% |
| Cayman Islands | 59.6% | 2020 | 55.1% | 46.0% | 37.0% | 14.4% |
| Central African Republic | 19.3% | 2025 | 19.5% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 21.4% |
| Chad | 29.4% | 2025 | 30.2% | 31.8% | 33.4% | 37.4% |
| Chile | 34.6% | 2025 | 35.4% | 37.2% | 38.9% | 43.3% |
| China | 21.1% | 2025 | 21.4% | 22.2% | 23.0% | 24.9% |
| Colombia | 15.0% | 2025 | 15.1% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 16.4% |
| Comoros | 9.3% | 2025 | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Congo | 48.0% | 2025 | 47.3% | 46.0% | 44.6% | 41.2% |
| Costa Rica | 38.8% | 2025 | 39.8% | 41.6% | 43.4% | 48.0% |
| Croatia | 48.0% | 2025 | 48.4% | 49.2% | 50.0% | 52.0% |
| Cuba | 42.5% | 2024 | 48.0% | 59.0% | 70.0% | 97.5% |
| Curacao | 63.2% | 2018 | 60.7% | 55.6% | 50.4% | 37.6% |
| Cyprus | 97.6% | 2025 | 101.5% | 109.4% | 117.3% | 137.1% |
| Czechia | 66.9% | 2025 | 66.1% | 64.3% | 62.6% | 58.2% |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 29.8% | 2025 | 30.7% | 32.4% | 34.1% | 38.4% |
| DR Congo | 43.4% | 2025 | 45.7% | 50.1% | 54.6% | 65.9% |
| Denmark | 70.1% | 2025 | 72.6% | 77.5% | 82.4% | 94.7% |
| Djibouti | 110.5% | 2025 | 105.6% | 96.0% | 86.3% | 62.0% |
| Dominican Republic | 23.6% | 2025 | 23.7% | 23.7% | 23.8% | 24.0% |
| Ecuador | 31.4% | 2025 | 32.7% | 35.3% | 37.8% | 44.2% |
| Egypt | 19.8% | 2025 | 20.2% | 21.1% | 22.0% | 24.1% |
| El Salvador | 32.0% | 2025 | 32.7% | 33.9% | 35.1% | 38.2% |
| Equatorial Guinea | 46.5% | 2025 | 45.0% | 42.1% | 39.2% | 31.8% |
| Eritrea | 18.2% | 2011 | 19.1% | 21.0% | 22.9% | 27.6% |
| Estonia | 78.4% | 2025 | 79.5% | 81.7% | 83.9% | 89.5% |
| Eswatini | 53.8% | 2024 | 55.1% | 57.8% | 60.5% | 67.2% |
| Ethiopia | 13.3% | 2025 | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 15.8% |
| Faroe Islands | 54.6% | 2024 | 54.9% | 55.6% | 56.4% | 58.2% |
| Fiji | 54.4% | 2024 | 55.7% | 58.3% | 60.9% | 67.3% |
| Finland | 42.3% | 2025 | 43.0% | 44.3% | 45.6% | 48.8% |
| France | 33.4% | 2025 | 33.8% | 34.5% | 35.3% | 37.1% |
| French Polynesia | 18.3% | 2024 | 18.5% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 20.0% |
| Gabon | 55.5% | 2025 | 57.0% | 60.1% | 63.2% | 70.9% |
| Gambia, The | 12.7% | 2025 | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Georgia | 47.4% | 2025 | 47.4% | 47.3% | 47.3% | 47.2% |
| Germany | 40.4% | 2025 | 40.4% | 40.3% | 40.2% | 39.9% |
| Ghana | 35.1% | 2024 | 34.9% | 34.7% | 34.5% | 33.9% |
| Greece | 39.5% | 2025 | 40.2% | 41.8% | 43.3% | 47.2% |
| Greenland | 40.8% | 2023 | 40.4% | 39.5% | 38.7% | 36.6% |
| Guam | 7.9% | 2022 | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guatemala | 15.6% | 2025 | 15.3% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% |
| Guinea | 41.4% | 2025 | 41.7% | 42.2% | 42.7% | 43.9% |
| Guinea-Bissau | 13.9% | 2025 | 12.5% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Guyana | 84.6% | 2005 | 83.4% | 80.9% | 78.5% | 72.3% |
| Haiti | 1.6% | 2025 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Honduras | 35.0% | 2025 | 34.2% | 32.5% | 30.9% | 26.8% |
| Hong Kong | 199.8% | 2025 | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% |
| Hungary | 72.6% | 2025 | 71.7% | 69.8% | 67.9% | 63.2% |
| Iceland | 40.1% | 2025 | 39.9% | 39.5% | 39.1% | 38.1% |
| India | 22.3% | 2025 | 22.8% | 23.9% | 25.1% | 27.9% |
| Indonesia | 22.8% | 2025 | 23.4% | 24.6% | 25.7% | 28.6% |
| Iran | 25.8% | 2025 | 25.7% | 25.7% | 25.7% | 25.7% |
| Iraq | 39.8% | 2024 | 40.5% | 42.1% | 43.6% | 47.4% |
| Ireland | 140.1% | 2025 | 141.9% | 145.6% | 149.3% | 150.0% |
| Israel | 27.6% | 2025 | 27.5% | 27.3% | 27.2% | 26.8% |
| Italy | 32.2% | 2025 | 32.6% | 33.5% | 34.3% | 36.3% |
| Japan | 22.0% | 2024 | 22.7% | 24.2% | 25.7% | 29.4% |
| Jordan | 42.6% | 2024 | 44.1% | 47.1% | 50.1% | 57.6% |
| Kazakhstan | 31.6% | 2024 | 31.6% | 31.5% | 31.5% | 31.3% |
| Kenya | 15.8% | 2025 | 16.6% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 23.9% |
| Kiribati | 4.5% | 2024 | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kosovo | 44.0% | 2025 | 46.6% | 52.0% | 57.4% | 70.8% |
| Kuwait | 55.8% | 2024 | 56.6% | 58.2% | 59.7% | 63.7% |
| Kyrgyz Republic | 26.8% | 2025 | 27.6% | 29.1% | 30.7% | 34.6% |
| Laos | 33.2% | 2016 | 33.4% | 33.8% | 34.2% | 35.1% |
| Latvia | 62.6% | 2025 | 62.8% | 63.4% | 64.0% | 65.3% |
| Lebanon | 23.3% | 2024 | 24.6% | 27.3% | 29.9% | 36.5% |
| Lesotho | 49.5% | 2025 | 49.6% | 49.8% | 50.1% | 50.6% |
| Libya | 71.7% | 2025 | 78.5% | 92.0% | 105.5% | 139.2% |
| Lithuania | 73.0% | 2025 | 72.9% | 72.7% | 72.6% | 72.1% |
| Luxembourg | 190.5% | 2025 | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% |
| Macao | 92.3% | 2025 | 94.7% | 99.4% | 104.1% | 116.0% |
| Madagascar | 21.3% | 2025 | 20.5% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 13.4% |
| Malawi | 10.6% | 2025 | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
| Malaysia | 71.0% | 2025 | 71.9% | 73.6% | 75.4% | 79.9% |
| Maldives | 78.2% | 2024 | 80.4% | 84.7% | 89.0% | 99.8% |
| Mali | 22.1% | 2025 | 22.3% | 22.6% | 23.0% | 23.8% |
| Malta | 119.1% | 2025 | 118.1% | 116.2% | 114.3% | 109.5% |
| Marshall Islands | 36.0% | 2025 | 35.8% | 35.2% | 34.7% | 33.3% |
| Mauritania | 39.9% | 2025 | 40.0% | 40.2% | 40.4% | 40.9% |
| Mauritius | 65.0% | 2025 | 66.5% | 69.6% | 72.6% | 80.1% |
| Mexico | 39.6% | 2025 | 39.5% | 39.3% | 39.1% | 38.6% |
| Micronesia, Fed. Sts. | 22.1% | 2025 | 20.1% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 2.0% |
| Moldova | 31.8% | 2025 | 32.2% | 33.2% | 34.2% | 36.7% |
| Mongolia | 68.1% | 2025 | 70.2% | 74.5% | 78.7% | 89.4% |
| Montenegro | 40.1% | 2025 | 40.7% | 41.9% | 43.1% | 46.1% |
| Morocco | 42.0% | 2025 | 43.7% | 47.1% | 50.5% | 59.0% |
| Mozambique | 41.4% | 2025 | 41.9% | 43.1% | 44.2% | 47.0% |
| Namibia | 44.7% | 2025 | 46.1% | 49.0% | 52.0% | 59.2% |
| Naoero | 61.8% | 2025 | 62.0% | 62.3% | 62.7% | 63.7% |
| Nepal | 8.8% | 2025 | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% |
| Netherlands | 80.7% | 2025 | 80.3% | 79.6% | 78.9% | 77.1% |
| New Caledonia | 11.7% | 2024 | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| New Zealand | 24.7% | 2024 | 24.1% | 22.9% | 21.7% | 18.7% |
| Nicaragua | 41.6% | 2025 | 41.5% | 41.3% | 41.1% | 40.6% |
| Niger | 15.8% | 2025 | 15.8% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 16.3% |
| Nigeria | 9.2% | 1960 | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| North Macedonia | 59.6% | 2025 | 60.0% | 60.6% | 61.3% | 62.9% |
| Northern Mariana Islands | 22.3% | 2022 | 13.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Norway | 45.4% | 2025 | 47.4% | 51.3% | 55.3% | 65.2% |
| Oman | 66.1% | 2024 | 69.0% | 74.8% | 80.6% | 95.2% |
| Pakistan | 10.0% | 2025 | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
| Palau | 32.7% | 2024 | 29.6% | 23.4% | 17.3% | 1.9% |
| Panama | 44.4% | 2024 | 45.1% | 46.7% | 48.3% | 52.1% |
| Papua New Guinea | 72.2% | 2004 | 74.9% | 80.4% | 85.9% | 99.6% |
| Paraguay | 37.2% | 2025 | 37.6% | 38.5% | 39.3% | 41.5% |
| Peru | 30.0% | 2025 | 30.8% | 32.5% | 34.1% | 38.3% |
| Philippines | 26.6% | 2025 | 26.2% | 25.4% | 24.6% | 22.7% |
| Poland | 50.0% | 2025 | 50.0% | 50.1% | 50.2% | 50.4% |
| Portugal | 43.7% | 2025 | 44.2% | 45.4% | 46.5% | 49.4% |
| Puerto Rico (US) | 46.9% | 2025 | 45.0% | 41.3% | 37.5% | 28.2% |
| Qatar | 68.6% | 2022 | 70.0% | 72.9% | 75.8% | 83.0% |
| Romania | 35.5% | 2025 | 34.8% | 33.4% | 32.0% | 28.6% |
| Russia | 18.2% | 2025 | 16.6% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| Rwanda | 21.6% | 2025 | 22.1% | 23.3% | 24.5% | 27.4% |
| Samoa | 27.6% | 2025 | 26.9% | 25.4% | 24.0% | 20.3% |
| San Marino | 186.0% | 2023 | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% |
| Sao Tome and Principe | 13.3% | 2025 | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Saudi Arabia | 29.7% | 2025 | 29.4% | 28.8% | 28.2% | 26.6% |
| Senegal | 32.5% | 2025 | 33.4% | 35.3% | 37.2% | 41.8% |
| Serbia | 54.3% | 2025 | 55.5% | 57.8% | 60.1% | 66.0% |
| Seychelles | 79.6% | 2025 | 79.7% | 79.9% | 80.0% | 80.4% |
| Sierra Leone | 20.9% | 2025 | 22.6% | 25.9% | 29.2% | 37.5% |
| Singapore | 177.9% | 2025 | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% |
| Slovakia | 85.1% | 2025 | 84.3% | 82.6% | 80.9% | 76.7% |
| Slovenia | 78.6% | 2025 | 78.2% | 77.2% | 76.3% | 73.9% |
| Solomon Islands | 40.6% | 2024 | 40.1% | 39.0% | 38.0% | 35.5% |
| Somalia, Fed. Rep. | 29.2% | 2025 | 31.9% | 37.2% | 42.5% | 55.7% |
| South Africa | 31.4% | 2025 | 32.2% | 33.9% | 35.6% | 39.7% |
| South Korea | 45.8% | 2025 | 47.0% | 49.6% | 52.1% | 58.5% |
| South Sudan | 36.7% | 2015 | 30.8% | 19.0% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Spain | 36.6% | 2025 | 37.3% | 38.5% | 39.7% | 42.8% |
| Sri Lanka | 19.0% | 2025 | 18.9% | 18.7% | 18.5% | 18.1% |
| Sudan | 1.1% | 2025 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Suriname | 52.5% | 2010 | 51.5% | 49.4% | 47.3% | 42.1% |
| Sweden | 53.2% | 2025 | 54.7% | 57.6% | 60.5% | 67.7% |
| Switzerland | 78.1% | 2025 | 79.6% | 82.7% | 85.8% | 93.5% |
| Syria | 6.8% | 2022 | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tajikistan | 11.2% | 2024 | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% |
| Tanzania | 19.0% | 2025 | 19.7% | 21.1% | 22.6% | 26.2% |
| Thailand | 71.1% | 2025 | 72.9% | 76.3% | 79.7% | 88.3% |
| Timor-Leste | 10.6% | 2024 | 14.0% | 20.8% | 27.6% | 44.7% |
| Togo | 24.6% | 2023 | 24.3% | 23.8% | 23.3% | 22.1% |
| Tonga | 16.9% | 2024 | 15.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
| Tunisia | 46.7% | 2025 | 47.6% | 49.6% | 51.6% | 56.5% |
| Turkmenistan | 14.5% | 2025 | 13.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 0.7% |
| Türkiye | 24.8% | 2025 | 24.1% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 17.4% |
| Uganda | 21.4% | 2025 | 21.8% | 22.4% | 23.1% | 24.7% |
| Ukraine | 25.3% | 2025 | 22.5% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| United Arab Emirates | 106.8% | 2023 | 108.7% | 112.5% | 116.2% | 125.6% |
| United Kingdom | 30.6% | 2025 | 30.6% | 30.5% | 30.5% | 30.3% |
| United States | 11.0% | 2024 | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% |
| Uruguay | 27.1% | 2025 | 27.2% | 27.5% | 27.8% | 28.4% |
| Uzbekistan | 22.0% | 2025 | 21.9% | 21.6% | 21.3% | 20.6% |
| Vanuatu | 25.3% | 2024 | 23.1% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 3.2% |
| Venezuela | 14.9% | 2025 | 11.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vietnam | 98.2% | 2025 | 99.8% | 102.8% | 105.9% | 113.5% |
| Virgin Islands (U.S.) | 97.4% | 2022 | 103.7% | 116.4% | 129.1% | 150.0% |
| West Bank and Gaza | 21.2% | 2025 | 22.1% | 23.9% | 25.7% | 30.1% |
| Yemen, Rep. | 8.8% | 2018 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zambia | 35.0% | 2024 | 35.4% | 36.3% | 37.2% | 39.3% |
| Zimbabwe | 18.1% | 2024 | 17.0% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 7.5% |
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Exports uses a linear trend model with a 8-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
