trade · indicator
Exports of goods and services as a share of GDP.
Global · 2024
Baseline · 2025
How it’s forecast
Exports uses a linear trend model with a 8-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
Why it matters
Higher readings are generally healthier for this metric.
Trajectory
Before consensus
Countries whose latest reading deviates most from their own recent trend.
Rankings
By country
Observed history with a baseline / optimistic / pessimistic forecast for the largest current readings.
Forecast
Per-country latest reading and baseline forecast across horizons.
| Country | Latest | Year | 1y | 3y | 5y | 10y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan | 16.9% | 2023 | 19.2% | 23.9% | 28.5% | 40.2% |
| Albania | 36.3% | 2024 | 37.5% | 39.9% | 42.3% | 48.3% |
| Algeria | 19.9% | 2024 | 20.3% | 21.2% | 22.1% | 24.3% |
| American Samoa | 47.0% | 2022 | 44.3% | 39.1% | 33.8% | 20.6% |
| Angola | 31.5% | 2024 | 31.8% | 32.4% | 32.9% | 34.4% |
| Antigua and Barbuda | 54.7% | 2022 | 51.3% | 44.4% | 37.6% | 20.4% |
| Argentina | 15.2% | 2024 | 15.4% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 17.2% |
| Armenia | 73.6% | 2024 | 78.3% | 87.5% | 96.8% | 120.0% |
| Aruba | 84.0% | 2024 | 86.7% | 92.1% | 97.5% | 111.0% |
| Australia | 24.6% | 2024 | 25.2% | 26.4% | 27.6% | 30.7% |
| Austria | 55.7% | 2024 | 56.2% | 57.3% | 58.3% | 60.9% |
| Azerbaijan | 45.9% | 2024 | 45.9% | 45.9% | 45.9% | 45.9% |
| Bahamas, The | 37.8% | 2024 | 38.6% | 40.2% | 41.7% | 45.7% |
| Bahrain | 87.7% | 2024 | 90.7% | 96.6% | 102.6% | 117.5% |
| Bangladesh | 10.5% | 2024 | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% |
| Belarus | 65.1% | 2024 | 64.7% | 64.0% | 63.2% | 61.4% |
| Belgium | 79.3% | 2024 | 79.4% | 79.7% | 80.0% | 80.7% |
| Belize | 55.2% | 2024 | 56.0% | 57.6% | 59.1% | 63.0% |
| Benin | 18.8% | 2024 | 17.4% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 4.5% |
| Bermuda | 52.1% | 2024 | 52.3% | 52.7% | 53.1% | 54.0% |
| Bhutan | 28.4% | 2023 | 28.3% | 28.1% | 27.8% | 27.3% |
| Bolivia | 21.4% | 2024 | 22.1% | 23.3% | 24.6% | 27.8% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 40.9% | 2024 | 41.4% | 42.5% | 43.6% | 46.4% |
| Botswana | 27.4% | 2024 | 25.7% | 22.4% | 19.1% | 10.9% |
| Brazil | 17.9% | 2024 | 18.8% | 20.6% | 22.3% | 26.7% |
| Brunei | 74.3% | 2024 | 79.1% | 88.7% | 98.4% | 122.5% |
| Bulgaria | 56.4% | 2024 | 55.5% | 53.8% | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Burkina Faso | 28.6% | 2024 | 28.9% | 29.5% | 30.1% | 31.6% |
| Cabo Verde | 42.5% | 2024 | 41.8% | 40.5% | 39.2% | 35.9% |
| Cambodia | 71.4% | 2024 | 74.0% | 79.4% | 84.8% | 98.2% |
| Cameroon | 15.7% | 2024 | 15.3% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.3% |
| Canada | 32.4% | 2024 | 32.7% | 33.1% | 33.5% | 34.6% |
| Cayman Islands | 59.6% | 2020 | 55.1% | 46.0% | 37.0% | 14.4% |
| Central African Republic | 15.0% | 2024 | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.8% |
| Chad | 29.8% | 2024 | 30.8% | 32.9% | 35.0% | 40.2% |
| Chile | 33.7% | 2024 | 34.6% | 36.3% | 38.1% | 42.4% |
| China | 20.0% | 2024 | 20.2% | 20.5% | 20.9% | 21.8% |
| Colombia | 16.1% | 2024 | 16.5% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 20.0% |
| Comoros | 9.9% | 2024 | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Congo | 52.8% | 2024 | 53.3% | 54.3% | 55.3% | 57.8% |
| Costa Rica | 38.5% | 2024 | 39.7% | 41.9% | 44.2% | 49.8% |
| Croatia | 50.1% | 2024 | 50.9% | 52.3% | 53.8% | 57.5% |
| Cuba | 42.5% | 2024 | 48.0% | 59.0% | 70.0% | 97.5% |
| Curacao | 63.2% | 2018 | 60.7% | 55.6% | 50.4% | 37.6% |
| Cyprus | 97.0% | 2024 | 101.4% | 110.2% | 119.0% | 141.0% |
| Czechia | 68.9% | 2024 | 67.7% | 65.5% | 63.3% | 57.7% |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 26.0% | 2024 | 26.1% | 26.3% | 26.5% | 27.0% |
| DR Congo | 48.8% | 2024 | 51.2% | 56.1% | 61.1% | 73.4% |
| Denmark | 71.0% | 2024 | 73.5% | 78.5% | 83.6% | 96.1% |
| Djibouti | 126.4% | 2024 | 124.1% | 119.6% | 115.0% | 103.6% |
| Dominican Republic | 22.8% | 2024 | 22.5% | 21.9% | 21.3% | 19.9% |
| Ecuador | 30.3% | 2024 | 31.6% | 34.2% | 36.9% | 43.5% |
| Egypt | 16.4% | 2024 | 16.5% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 17.4% |
| El Salvador | 32.8% | 2024 | 33.4% | 34.6% | 35.7% | 38.7% |
| Equatorial Guinea | 35.2% | 2024 | 31.9% | 25.5% | 19.0% | 2.9% |
| Eritrea | 18.2% | 2011 | 19.1% | 21.0% | 22.9% | 27.6% |
| Estonia | 75.7% | 2024 | 76.8% | 78.9% | 81.1% | 86.6% |
| Eswatini | 53.8% | 2024 | 55.1% | 57.8% | 60.5% | 67.2% |
| Ethiopia | 5.5% | 2024 | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Faroe Islands | 54.6% | 2024 | 54.9% | 55.6% | 56.4% | 58.2% |
| Finland | 41.9% | 2024 | 42.7% | 44.2% | 45.8% | 49.7% |
| France | 33.9% | 2024 | 34.3% | 35.1% | 35.8% | 37.8% |
| French Polynesia | 18.3% | 2024 | 18.5% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 20.0% |
| Gabon | 64.6% | 2024 | 67.1% | 72.1% | 77.0% | 89.5% |
| Gambia, The | 8.7% | 2024 | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Georgia | 47.8% | 2024 | 48.0% | 48.2% | 48.5% | 49.2% |
| Germany | 41.4% | 2024 | 41.6% | 41.8% | 42.0% | 42.7% |
| Ghana | 35.5% | 2024 | 35.4% | 35.2% | 35.1% | 34.6% |
| Greece | 42.1% | 2024 | 43.5% | 46.2% | 49.0% | 55.8% |
| Greenland | 40.8% | 2023 | 40.4% | 39.5% | 38.7% | 36.6% |
| Guam | 7.9% | 2022 | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guatemala | 15.9% | 2024 | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 13.4% |
| Guinea | 41.4% | 2024 | 41.8% | 42.7% | 43.6% | 45.8% |
| Guinea-Bissau | 11.8% | 2024 | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Guyana | 84.6% | 2005 | 83.4% | 80.9% | 78.5% | 72.3% |
| Haiti | 3.4% | 2024 | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Honduras | 33.5% | 2024 | 32.6% | 30.8% | 29.0% | 24.4% |
| Hong Kong | 181.8% | 2024 | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% |
| Hungary | 75.4% | 2024 | 74.7% | 73.4% | 72.1% | 68.7% |
| Iceland | 42.5% | 2024 | 42.2% | 41.6% | 41.0% | 39.5% |
| India | 21.2% | 2024 | 21.6% | 22.6% | 23.6% | 26.0% |
| Indonesia | 22.2% | 2024 | 22.7% | 23.6% | 24.5% | 26.9% |
| Iran | 23.6% | 2024 | 23.5% | 23.4% | 23.4% | 23.2% |
| Iraq | 37.5% | 2024 | 38.1% | 39.2% | 40.4% | 43.3% |
| Ireland | 144.0% | 2024 | 146.2% | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% |
| Israel | 28.4% | 2024 | 28.5% | 28.7% | 28.9% | 29.5% |
| Italy | 32.5% | 2024 | 33.0% | 34.1% | 35.1% | 37.7% |
| Japan | 22.8% | 2024 | 23.6% | 25.2% | 26.9% | 31.0% |
| Jordan | 42.6% | 2024 | 44.1% | 47.1% | 50.1% | 57.6% |
| Kazakhstan | 31.6% | 2024 | 31.6% | 31.5% | 31.5% | 31.3% |
| Kenya | 17.1% | 2024 | 17.9% | 19.5% | 21.1% | 25.1% |
| Kiribati | 5.9% | 2023 | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kosovo | 41.7% | 2024 | 44.1% | 48.7% | 53.3% | 64.8% |
| Kuwait | 57.7% | 2023 | 58.8% | 61.0% | 63.2% | 68.7% |
| Kyrgyz Republic | 43.4% | 2024 | 45.1% | 48.3% | 51.5% | 59.6% |
| Laos | 33.2% | 2016 | 33.4% | 33.8% | 34.2% | 35.1% |
| Latvia | 65.3% | 2024 | 66.1% | 67.8% | 69.4% | 73.4% |
| Lebanon | 30.6% | 2023 | 32.2% | 35.5% | 38.8% | 47.0% |
| Lesotho | 42.9% | 2023 | 42.5% | 41.6% | 40.7% | 38.4% |
| Libya | 72.0% | 2024 | 81.2% | 99.5% | 117.9% | 150.0% |
| Lithuania | 74.1% | 2024 | 74.7% | 75.9% | 77.1% | 80.1% |
| Luxembourg | 191.5% | 2024 | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% |
| Macao | 92.2% | 2024 | 94.2% | 98.1% | 102.0% | 111.9% |
| Madagascar | 23.3% | 2024 | 22.5% | 20.9% | 19.3% | 15.3% |
| Malawi | 11.2% | 2023 | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% |
| Malaysia | 71.3% | 2024 | 72.0% | 73.3% | 74.5% | 77.7% |
| Maldives | 78.2% | 2024 | 80.4% | 84.7% | 89.0% | 99.8% |
| Mali | 22.6% | 2024 | 23.3% | 24.6% | 26.0% | 29.4% |
| Malta | 118.5% | 2024 | 118.4% | 118.3% | 118.2% | 117.9% |
| Marshall Islands | 42.1% | 2024 | 42.5% | 43.3% | 44.1% | 46.1% |
| Mauritania | 41.4% | 2024 | 42.0% | 43.1% | 44.3% | 47.1% |
| Mauritius | 67.1% | 2024 | 68.6% | 71.6% | 74.6% | 82.0% |
| Mexico | 36.7% | 2024 | 36.6% | 36.5% | 36.3% | 36.0% |
| Micronesia, Fed. Sts. | 26.9% | 2024 | 25.9% | 24.0% | 22.0% | 17.0% |
| Moldova | 31.4% | 2024 | 32.0% | 33.1% | 34.2% | 37.0% |
| Mongolia | 68.7% | 2024 | 70.8% | 75.0% | 79.2% | 89.6% |
| Montenegro | 43.7% | 2024 | 44.7% | 46.7% | 48.7% | 53.6% |
| Morocco | 42.0% | 2024 | 43.7% | 47.1% | 50.5% | 59.0% |
| Mozambique | 42.8% | 2024 | 43.5% | 44.9% | 46.3% | 49.8% |
| Namibia | 41.6% | 2024 | 42.9% | 45.4% | 47.9% | 54.2% |
| Nauru | 55.3% | 2024 | 53.9% | 51.0% | 48.1% | 40.9% |
| Nepal | 7.6% | 2024 | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| Netherlands | 82.4% | 2024 | 82.7% | 83.2% | 83.7% | 85.0% |
| New Caledonia | 11.7% | 2024 | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| New Zealand | 24.8% | 2024 | 24.2% | 23.0% | 21.9% | 18.9% |
| Nicaragua | 40.5% | 2024 | 40.8% | 41.6% | 42.3% | 44.2% |
| Niger | 27.3% | 2024 | 29.8% | 34.9% | 39.9% | 52.4% |
| Nigeria | 9.2% | 1960 | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| North Macedonia | 61.7% | 2024 | 63.1% | 66.0% | 68.8% | 75.9% |
| Northern Mariana Islands | 22.3% | 2022 | 13.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Norway | 47.5% | 2024 | 49.8% | 54.3% | 58.9% | 70.3% |
| Oman | 66.1% | 2024 | 69.0% | 74.8% | 80.6% | 95.2% |
| Pakistan | 10.4% | 2024 | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.7% |
| Palau | 26.3% | 2023 | 21.2% | 11.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Panama | 44.4% | 2024 | 45.1% | 46.7% | 48.3% | 52.1% |
| Papua New Guinea | 72.2% | 2004 | 74.9% | 80.4% | 85.9% | 99.6% |
| Paraguay | 37.2% | 2024 | 37.4% | 37.8% | 38.2% | 39.1% |
| Peru | 28.5% | 2024 | 29.2% | 30.6% | 31.9% | 35.3% |
| Philippines | 25.8% | 2024 | 25.3% | 24.2% | 23.2% | 20.6% |
| Poland | 52.2% | 2024 | 53.0% | 54.5% | 56.1% | 60.0% |
| Portugal | 45.8% | 2024 | 46.5% | 47.9% | 49.3% | 52.8% |
| Puerto Rico (US) | 51.9% | 2024 | 49.7% | 45.5% | 41.2% | 30.5% |
| Qatar | 68.6% | 2022 | 70.0% | 72.9% | 75.8% | 83.0% |
| Romania | 35.6% | 2024 | 35.0% | 33.9% | 32.8% | 30.1% |
| Russia | 21.9% | 2024 | 21.1% | 19.5% | 17.8% | 13.8% |
| Rwanda | 30.8% | 2024 | 31.9% | 34.2% | 36.4% | 42.0% |
| Samoa | 30.7% | 2024 | 29.3% | 26.7% | 24.1% | 17.5% |
| San Marino | 186.0% | 2023 | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% |
| Saudi Arabia | 29.1% | 2024 | 28.7% | 28.0% | 27.2% | 25.3% |
| Senegal | 24.7% | 2024 | 25.0% | 25.7% | 26.4% | 28.2% |
| Serbia | 53.6% | 2024 | 54.9% | 57.6% | 60.2% | 66.9% |
| Seychelles | 85.2% | 2024 | 84.7% | 83.7% | 82.6% | 80.1% |
| Sierra Leone | 17.3% | 2024 | 18.4% | 20.8% | 23.2% | 29.1% |
| Singapore | 178.8% | 2024 | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% | 150.0% |
| Slovakia | 85.5% | 2024 | 84.9% | 83.8% | 82.6% | 79.7% |
| Slovenia | 80.9% | 2024 | 81.0% | 81.1% | 81.1% | 81.4% |
| Solomon Islands | 40.6% | 2024 | 40.1% | 39.0% | 38.0% | 35.5% |
| Somalia, Fed. Rep. | 31.2% | 2024 | 33.4% | 37.7% | 42.1% | 52.9% |
| South Africa | 31.8% | 2024 | 32.8% | 34.7% | 36.7% | 41.6% |
| South Korea | 44.4% | 2024 | 45.3% | 47.1% | 49.0% | 53.6% |
| South Sudan | 36.7% | 2015 | 30.8% | 19.0% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Spain | 37.1% | 2024 | 37.6% | 38.8% | 39.9% | 42.8% |
| Sri Lanka | 19.9% | 2024 | 19.8% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 19.2% |
| Sudan | 0.7% | 2024 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Suriname | 52.5% | 2010 | 51.5% | 49.4% | 47.3% | 42.1% |
| Sweden | 54.3% | 2024 | 56.0% | 59.3% | 62.7% | 71.0% |
| Switzerland | 72.2% | 2024 | 73.4% | 75.9% | 78.4% | 84.6% |
| Syria | 6.8% | 2022 | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tajikistan | 17.2% | 2023 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 25.1% |
| Tanzania | 19.8% | 2024 | 20.3% | 21.3% | 22.2% | 24.6% |
| Thailand | 70.0% | 2024 | 70.7% | 71.9% | 73.1% | 76.2% |
| Timor-Leste | 10.6% | 2024 | 14.0% | 20.8% | 27.6% | 44.7% |
| Togo | 25.0% | 2022 | 24.6% | 23.7% | 22.8% | 20.6% |
| Tonga | 14.7% | 2023 | 12.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Tunisia | 50.0% | 2024 | 51.4% | 54.1% | 56.9% | 63.8% |
| Turkmenistan | 17.6% | 2024 | 16.7% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 8.9% |
| Türkiye | 27.6% | 2024 | 27.9% | 28.6% | 29.3% | 31.1% |
| Uganda | 16.8% | 2024 | 16.4% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 13.0% |
| Ukraine | 29.4% | 2024 | 26.7% | 21.2% | 15.7% | 1.9% |
| United Arab Emirates | 106.8% | 2023 | 108.7% | 112.5% | 116.2% | 125.6% |
| United Kingdom | 31.0% | 2024 | 31.1% | 31.2% | 31.4% | 31.7% |
| United States | 11.1% | 2024 | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% |
| Uruguay | 28.8% | 2024 | 29.4% | 30.6% | 31.8% | 34.9% |
| Uzbekistan | 22.8% | 2024 | 23.1% | 23.6% | 24.2% | 25.7% |
| Vanuatu | 9.4% | 2022 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Venezuela | 16.9% | 2024 | 13.0% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vietnam | 90.2% | 2024 | 91.4% | 93.8% | 96.3% | 102.4% |
| Virgin Islands (U.S.) | 97.4% | 2022 | 103.7% | 116.4% | 129.1% | 150.0% |
| West Bank and Gaza | 21.0% | 2024 | 21.7% | 23.1% | 24.4% | 27.8% |
| Yemen, Rep. | 8.8% | 2018 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zambia | 35.0% | 2024 | 35.4% | 36.3% | 37.2% | 39.3% |
| Zimbabwe | 18.0% | 2024 | 17.0% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 7.6% |
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Exports uses a linear trend model with a 8-year lookback, 55% recent-data weight, 80% confidence band, and horizons of 1, 3, 5, 10 years.
