Analysis · derived
Which economies are most risk-off right now? This ranks the whole covered universe by business-cycle phase — contraction and slowdown (risk-off) first — derived from the latest real GDP-growth level and momentum of each economy. No country code needed; each reading traces to the same live observed series the rest of the platform serves. Backward-looking, not a forecast.
Screen
Showing 12 of 12 covered countries in the contraction phase.
| # | Country | Phase | Growth % | Δ growth | Confidence | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Caledonia |
| ContractionStressed |
| -13.5 |
| −16.3 |
| High |
| 2024 |
| Brief → |
| 2 | Qatar · QAT | ContractionStressed | -8.6 | −11.5 | High | 2026 | Brief → |
| 3 | Virgin Islands (U.S.) · VIR | ContractionStressed | -1.3 | −5.0 | High | 2022 | Brief → |
| 4 | Iraq · IRQ | ContractionStressed | -6.8 | −4.6 | High | 2026 | Brief → |
| 5 | Bahrain · BHR | ContractionStressed | -0.5 | −4.0 | High | 2026 | Brief → |
| 6 | Kuwait · KWT | ContractionStressed | -0.6 | −3.3 | High | 2026 | Brief → |
| 7 | Iran · IRN | ContractionStressed | -6.1 | −3.3 | High | 2026 | Brief → |
| 8 | Syria · SYR | ContractionStressed | -0.2 | −2.0 | High | 2022 | Brief → |
| 9 | Bolivia · BOL | ContractionStressed | -3.3 | −1.7 | High | 2026 | Brief → |
| 10 | Jamaica · JAM | ContractionStressed | -1.2 | −1.3 | High | 2026 | Brief → |
| 11 | Puerto Rico (US) · PRI | ContractionStressed | -0.1 | −0.4 | High | 2026 | Brief → |
| 12 | Liechtenstein · LIE | ContractionStressed | -0.4 | −0.4 | High | 2026 | Brief → |
Ranked over the 12 countries we hold a live GDP-growth series for; uncovered economies never appear. Read the machine-readable ranking at GET /api/v1/screener/regime · or screen by macro stress on the macro-stress screener.
