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World/Screener/Regime

Analysis · derived

Business-cycle regime screener

Which economies are most risk-off right now? This ranks the whole covered universe by business-cycle phase — contraction and slowdown (risk-off) first — derived from the latest real GDP-growth level and momentum of each economy. No country code needed; each reading traces to the same live observed series the rest of the platform serves. Backward-looking, not a forecast.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Screen

Markets by business-cycle phase

Showing 25 of 70 covered countries in the expansion phase.

All phasesContractionSlowdownRecoveryExpansion
#CountryPhaseGrowth %Δ growthConfidenceAs of
1Romania
· ROU
ExpansionNormal
0.7
+0.0
High
2026
Brief →
2Uruguay · URYExpansionNormal1.8+0.0High2026Brief →
3Portugal · PRTExpansionNormal1.9+0.0High2026Brief →
4Dominica · DMAExpansionNormal3.1+0.1High2026Brief →
5Tanzania · TZAExpansionNormal5.9+0.1High2026Brief →
6France · FRAExpansionNormal0.9+0.1High2026Brief →
7Latvia · LVAExpansionNormal2.2+0.1High2026Brief →
8Montenegro · MNEExpansionNormal2.8+0.1High2026Brief →
9Bosnia and Herzegovina · BIHExpansionNormal2.2+0.1High2026Brief →
10Austria · AUTExpansionNormal0.7+0.1High2026Brief →
11Liberia · LBRExpansionNormal5.1+0.1High2026Brief →
12Nigeria · NGAExpansionNormal4.1+0.1High2026Brief →
13Cameroon · CMRExpansionNormal3.3+0.1High2026Brief →
14Russia · RUSExpansionNormal1.1+0.1High2026Brief →
15DR Congo · CODExpansionNormal5.9+0.1High2026Brief →
16United States · USAExpansionNormal2.3+0.1High2026Brief →
17Ukraine · UKRExpansionNormal2.0+0.2High2026Brief →
18Gabon · GABExpansionNormal2.7+0.2High2026Brief →
19Mauritius · MUSExpansionNormal3.4+0.3High2026Brief →
20Morocco · MARExpansionNormal4.9+0.3High2026Brief →
21Malawi · MWIExpansionNormal2.2+0.3High2026Brief →
22Comoros · COMExpansionNormal4.1+0.3High2026Brief →
23Mauritania · MRTExpansionNormal4.4+0.4High2026Brief →
24Sint Maarten (Dutch part) · SXMExpansionNormal3.4+0.4High2025Brief →
25Norway · NORExpansionNormal1.5+0.4High2026Brief →

Ranked over the 70 countries we hold a live GDP-growth series for; uncovered economies never appear. Read the machine-readable ranking at GET /api/v1/screener/regime · or screen by macro stress on the macro-stress screener.