PredictonomyPredictonomy
Home
Countries
Indicators
Sectors
Studios
Briefings
Methodology
Sign in
PredictonomyPredictonomy

Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

Explore

  • Home
  • Countries
  • Indicators
  • Sectors
  • Studios
  • Briefings
  • Methodology
  • Global dashboard
  • Signals

Company

  • Pricing
  • Developers
  • Data status
  • About
  • Legal
World/Screener/Regime

Analysis · derived

Business-cycle regime screener

Which economies are most risk-off right now? This ranks the whole covered universe by business-cycle phase — contraction and slowdown (risk-off) first — derived from the latest real GDP-growth level and momentum of each economy. No country code needed; each reading traces to the same live observed series the rest of the platform serves. Backward-looking, not a forecast.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Screen

Markets by business-cycle phase

Showing 25 of 88 covered countries in the expansion phase.

All phasesContractionSlowdownRecoveryExpansion
#CountryPhaseGrowth %Δ growthConfidenceAs of
1Algeria
· DZA
ExpansionNormal
3.8
0.0
High
2026
Brief →
2Australia · AUSExpansionNormal2.00.0High2026Brief →
3Djibouti · DJIExpansionNormal6.00.0High2026Brief →
4Ethiopia · ETHExpansionNormal9.20.0High2026Brief →
5France · FRAExpansionNormal0.90.0High2026Brief →
6Italy · ITAExpansionNormal0.50.0High2026Brief →
7Jordan · JORExpansionNormal2.70.0High2026Brief →
8Liberia · LBRExpansionNormal5.10.0High2026Brief →
9Lithuania · LTUExpansionNormal2.90.0High2026Brief →
10Morocco · MARExpansionNormal4.90.0High2026Brief →
11Namibia · NAMExpansionNormal2.40.0High2026Brief →
12Portugal · PRTExpansionNormal1.90.0High2026Brief →
13Romania · ROUExpansionNormal0.70.0High2026Brief →
14Switzerland · CHEExpansionNormal1.30.0High2026Brief →
15Tanzania · TZAExpansionNormal5.90.0High2026Brief →
16Trinidad and Tobago · TTOExpansionNormal0.80.0High2026Brief →
17Uruguay · URYExpansionNormal1.80.0High2026Brief →
18Cayman Islands · CYMExpansionNormal5.8+0.0High2023Brief →
19Austria · AUTExpansionNormal0.7+0.1High2026Brief →
20Chile · CHLExpansionNormal2.4+0.1High2026Brief →
21Latvia · LVAExpansionNormal2.2+0.1High2026Brief →
22Malawi · MWIExpansionNormal2.2+0.1High2026Brief →
23Montenegro · MNEExpansionNormal2.8+0.1High2026Brief →
24Nigeria · NGAExpansionNormal4.1+0.1High2026Brief →
25Russia · RUSExpansionNormal1.1+0.1High2026Brief →

Ranked over the 88 countries we hold a live GDP-growth series for; uncovered economies never appear. Read the machine-readable ranking at GET /api/v1/screener/regime · or screen by macro stress on the macro-stress screener.