Analysis · derived

Business-cycle regime screener

Which economies are most risk-off right now? This ranks the whole covered universe by business-cycle phase — contraction and slowdown (risk-off) first — derived from the latest real GDP-growth level and momentum of each economy. No country code needed; each reading traces to the same live observed series the rest of the platform serves. Backward-looking, not a forecast.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Screen

Markets by business-cycle phase

Showing 25 of 87 covered countries in the expansion phase.Ranked across countries with ≥1 M people or ≥$10 bn GDP so micro-territories don't crowd the board. Show all →

All phases Contraction Slowdown Recovery Expansion

#	Country	Phase	Growth %	Δ growth	Confidence	As of

Ranked over the 87 countries we hold a live GDP-growth series for; uncovered economies never appear. Read the machine-readable ranking at GET /api/v1/screener/regime · or screen by macro stress on the macro-stress screener.