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Live macro and micro economic signals, historical context and probabilistic forecasts — built to surface trends before they become consensus.

Research and information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are probabilistic and uncertain.

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World/Screener

Analysis · derived

Macro-stress screener

Which economies are under the most macro pressure right now? This ranks the whole covered universe by the derived macro-pressure composite (growth, inflation, unemployment, debt, external balance) — no country code needed. A higher score means more stress; each reading traces to the same live observed series the rest of the platform serves. Backward-looking, not a forecast.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Screen

Most macro-stressed economies

Showing the most macro-stressed 10 of 216 covered countries.Showing every covered country, including micro-territories. Apply floor →

Most stressedLeast stressed
#CountryMacro stressSentimentReadConfidenceAs of
1Virgin Islands (U.S.) · VIR88Stressed
−0.76
stressed
Low
2025-12-31
Brief →
2Yemen, Rep. · YEM78Stressed−0.56stressedModerate2025-12-31Brief →
3Isle of Man · IMN76Stressed−0.52stressedLow2023-12-31Brief →
4Ukraine · UKR75Elevated−0.50cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →
5New Caledonia · NCL72Elevated−0.44cautiousModerate2025-12-31Brief →
6French Polynesia · PYF71Elevated−0.42cautiousLow2025-12-31Brief →
7Iran · IRN70Elevated−0.40cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →
8Haiti · HTI69Elevated−0.38cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →
9Sudan · SDN68Elevated−0.36cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →
10Bolivia · BOL66Elevated−0.32cautiousHigh2025-12-31Brief →

Ranked over the 216 countries we hold live macro-pressure inputs for; uncovered economies never appear. Read the machine-readable ranking at GET /api/v1/screener/sentiment · or screen by business-cycle phase · method on the scoring glossary.