Analysis · derived
Which economies are most risk-off right now? This ranks the whole covered universe by business-cycle phase — contraction and slowdown (risk-off) first — derived from the latest real GDP-growth level and momentum of each economy. No country code needed; each reading traces to the same live observed series the rest of the platform serves. Backward-looking, not a forecast.
Screen
Showing 25 of 107 covered countries in the expansion phase.Showing every covered country, including micro-territories. Apply floor →
| # | Country | Phase | Growth % | Δ growth | Confidence | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| China · CHN |
| ExpansionNormal |
| 5.0 |
| 0.0 |
| High |
| 2025 |
| Brief → |
| 2 | Tajikistan · TJK | ExpansionNormal | 8.4 | 0.0 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 3 | Andorra · AND | ExpansionNormal | 3.9 | +0.0 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 4 | Turkmenistan · TKM | ExpansionNormal | 6.3 | +0.0 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 5 | Malaysia · MYS | ExpansionNormal | 5.2 | +0.1 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 6 | Suriname · SUR | ExpansionNormal | 1.8 | +0.1 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 7 | Indonesia · IDN | ExpansionNormal | 5.1 | +0.1 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 8 | Ghana · GHA | ExpansionNormal | 6.0 | +0.1 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 9 | Algeria · DZA | ExpansionNormal | 3.8 | +0.1 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 10 | Honduras · HND | ExpansionNormal | 3.8 | +0.1 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 11 | Burundi · BDI | ExpansionNormal | 4.2 | +0.1 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 12 | Malawi · MWI | ExpansionNormal | 1.9 | +0.2 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 13 | Senegal · SEN | ExpansionNormal | 6.7 | +0.2 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 14 | Jordan · JOR | ExpansionNormal | 2.8 | +0.3 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 15 | Luxembourg · LUX | ExpansionNormal | 0.6 | +0.3 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 16 | Türkiye · TUR | ExpansionNormal | 3.6 | +0.3 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 17 | Uganda · UGA | ExpansionNormal | 6.3 | +0.3 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 18 | United Kingdom · GBR | ExpansionNormal | 1.4 | +0.3 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 19 | Sierra Leone · SLE | ExpansionNormal | 4.6 | +0.3 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 20 | Tanzania · TZA | ExpansionNormal | 5.8 | +0.3 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 21 | Gambia, The · GMB | ExpansionNormal | 5.9 | +0.3 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 22 | Sint Maarten (Dutch part) · SXM | ExpansionNormal | 3.4 | +0.4 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 23 | Laos · LAO | ExpansionNormal | 4.5 | +0.4 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 24 | Bahamas, The · BHS | ExpansionNormal | 3.8 | +0.4 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
| 25 | Comoros · COM | ExpansionNormal | 3.8 | +0.5 | High | 2025 | Brief → |
Ranked over the 107 countries we hold a live GDP-growth series for; uncovered economies never appear. Read the machine-readable ranking at GET /api/v1/screener/regime · or screen by macro stress on the macro-stress screener.