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World/Screener/Regime

Analysis · derived

Business-cycle regime screener

Which economies are most risk-off right now? This ranks the whole covered universe by business-cycle phase — contraction and slowdown (risk-off) first — derived from the latest real GDP-growth level and momentum of each economy. No country code needed; each reading traces to the same live observed series the rest of the platform serves. Backward-looking, not a forecast.

How to read this:Observeda real measured value from a named source.Derivedcomputed by Predictonomy from observed series using a reproducible method.AI readan AI interpretation of already-computed figures. Opinion, not a new data point.

Screen

Markets by business-cycle phase

Showing 25 of 107 covered countries in the expansion phase.Showing every covered country, including micro-territories. Apply floor →

All phasesContractionSlowdownRecoveryExpansion
#CountryPhaseGrowth %Δ growthConfidenceAs of
1
China · CHN
ExpansionNormal
5.0
0.0
High
2025
Brief →
2Tajikistan · TJKExpansionNormal8.40.0High2025Brief →
3Andorra · ANDExpansionNormal3.9+0.0High2025Brief →
4Turkmenistan · TKMExpansionNormal6.3+0.0High2025Brief →
5Malaysia · MYSExpansionNormal5.2+0.1High2025Brief →
6Suriname · SURExpansionNormal1.8+0.1High2025Brief →
7Indonesia · IDNExpansionNormal5.1+0.1High2025Brief →
8Ghana · GHAExpansionNormal6.0+0.1High2025Brief →
9Algeria · DZAExpansionNormal3.8+0.1High2025Brief →
10Honduras · HNDExpansionNormal3.8+0.1High2025Brief →
11Burundi · BDIExpansionNormal4.2+0.1High2025Brief →
12Malawi · MWIExpansionNormal1.9+0.2High2025Brief →
13Senegal · SENExpansionNormal6.7+0.2High2025Brief →
14Jordan · JORExpansionNormal2.8+0.3High2025Brief →
15Luxembourg · LUXExpansionNormal0.6+0.3High2025Brief →
16Türkiye · TURExpansionNormal3.6+0.3High2025Brief →
17Uganda · UGAExpansionNormal6.3+0.3High2025Brief →
18United Kingdom · GBRExpansionNormal1.4+0.3High2025Brief →
19Sierra Leone · SLEExpansionNormal4.6+0.3High2025Brief →
20Tanzania · TZAExpansionNormal5.8+0.3High2025Brief →
21Gambia, The · GMBExpansionNormal5.9+0.3High2025Brief →
22Sint Maarten (Dutch part) · SXMExpansionNormal3.4+0.4High2025Brief →
23Laos · LAOExpansionNormal4.5+0.4High2025Brief →
24Bahamas, The · BHSExpansionNormal3.8+0.4High2025Brief →
25Comoros · COMExpansionNormal3.8+0.5High2025Brief →

Ranked over the 107 countries we hold a live GDP-growth series for; uncovered economies never appear. Read the machine-readable ranking at GET /api/v1/screener/regime · or screen by macro stress on the macro-stress screener.